The New York Mets will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona will televise this NL matchup and the action gets going at 4:10 p.m. ET.
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds
Arizona (-140) is hosting this game as the favorite against New York (+130) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. You can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -170 for the Mets +1.5 runs and +150 for the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs.
The Diamondbacks are 39-31 straight up (SU) and 37-32 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 9.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.4 units (ATS). Arizona has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Mets are 29-38 SU and have gone 28-37 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 13.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 12.0 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Arizona games have a 34-32-3 over/under record so far in 2018. Mets games have gone under 36 times, gone over 27 times and pushed on two instances.
Zack Wheeler will get the nod for New York. The right-handed Wheeler (2-5, 4.98 ERA) has racked up 64 strikeouts in 68.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 1.50 ERA and six strikeouts over six innings).
The Diamondbacks are handing the ball to righty Clay Buchholz (1-1, 3.21 ERA), who has 23 strikeouts and five walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.04. Buchholz is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA in one start against New York this year.
As a unit, Arizona’s pitching staff has allowed 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have a 4.13 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.45, a WHIP of 1.10 and a K/9 of 7.9.
Arizona’s offense has produced 4.4 runs per contest, including 7.3 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .273/.362/.467 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Diamondbacks’ offense has been led by outfielder David Peralta and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Peralta is hitting .279/.342/.506 with 14 home runs, 36 RBIs and 33 runs scored, and Goldschmidt’s line is .261/.367/.514 with 14 homers, 35 RBIs and 48 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.82 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.40 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.56, along with a K-per-9 of 9.04.
Mets hitters have slashed .226/.305/.371 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario continue to lead New York’s offense. Cabrera is slashing .267/.305/.467 with 11 home runs, 36 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Rosario is hitting .237/.266/.356 with four homers, 19 RBIs and 25 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 8.8 units and are 20-28 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 20 of those games, as opposed to 26 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have lost 1.4 units and are 22-22 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 22 that went under the total.
New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in only two of New York’s last seven outings.
New York has recorded 11.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 13.0 over its last five.
The Mets have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
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