The New York Mets will be squaring off against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. This NL matchup will get going at 9:40 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Arizona to catch the game.
New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds
Vegas is listing New York (+120) as the underdog to Arizona (-130). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over 8.5 runs and -110 for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds coming in at Mets +1.5 runs (-175) and Diamondbacks -1.5 runs (+155).
The Mets are 28-37 SU and are 28-35 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.4 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 38-30 SU and 35-32 ATS. The team has gained 7.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.3 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven.
Diamondbacks games have a 33-32-2 over/under record thus far in 2018. New York has been a decent under bet with a total record of 26-36-1.
Seth Lugo will get the start for the visiting Mets. The right-handed Lugo is 2-1 with a 1.77 ERA and 47 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Arizona this year.
The Diamondbacks are going with righty Zack Godley (6-5, 4.97 ERA), who’s got 70 strikeouts and 35 walks to his name, as well as a 1.54 WHIP. Godley is 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against New York this year.
As a unit, Arizona’s pitchers have given up 3.7 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 4.10 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.51, a WHIP of 1.10 and a K/9 of 7.9.
The Arizona offense is putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 7.1 per game over its last 10 games and 8.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .275/.379/.491 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Left fielder David Peralta and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt have paced the Diamondbacks’ hitters this year. Peralta is hitting .279/.341/.513 with 14 home runs, 36 RBIs and 32 runs scored, and Goldschmidt’s line sits at .258/.368/.508 with 13 homers, 32 RBIs and 46 runs scored.
For the visitors, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.79 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.45 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.58, along with a WHIP of 1.27.
Mets hitters have slashed .225/.304/.369 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 1.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario continue to lead New York’s hitters. Cabrera is slashing .272/.312/.480 with 11 home runs, 36 RBIs and 31 runs scored. Rosario is hitting .238/.268/.357 with four homers, 19 RBIs and 24 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 6.8 units and are 20-26 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 19 of those games, compared to 26 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have lost 2.4 units and are 21-22 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 21 of those games, as opposed to 22 which went under the total.
New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
New York has recorded 11 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Arizona has 16 XBH over its last five.
The Mets have lost 11 of their last 12 games SU while the Diamondbacks have won six of their last seven.
New York has recorded 9.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 10.0 over its last five.
The Mets have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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