The New York Mets will be facing off against their division rival Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and Pix11 will televise the action.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Atlanta (+125) as the underdog to New York (-135). Gamblers are able to bet on the game’s total with odds posted at +105 for over 8 runs and -125 for under 8. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at +110 for betting the Mets -1.5 runs and -130 for the Braves +1.5 runs.
The Mets have gone 14-5 SU this year and are 11-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 8.6 units for moneyline bettors over the early portions of the year and 6.3 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread only once over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 11-8 SU and 13-5 ATS. They’ve gained 7.0 units for moneyline bettors and 8.8 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Braves games have an over/under record of 7-8-3 thus far in 2018. New York has an over/under record of 9-9.
Right-hander Jacob deGrom is the projected starter for the visiting Mets. deGrom is 2-0 with a 3.24 ERA and 30 strikeouts. He has yet to face Atlanta this year, but he did make three starts against the team in 2017, posting a 2-0 record with a 3.00 ERA and 18 strikeouts.
The Braves are sending righty Julio Teheran (1-1, 5.40 ERA) to the mound. Teheran has 21 strikeouts and 13 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.65 WHIP. Teheran made five starts against the Mets in 2017, compiling a 1-2 record with a 3.26 ERA and 25 strikeouts.
New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.96 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 10.15 K/9. The bullpen has logged a solid ERA of just 3.03, along with a WHIP of 1.15.
Mets hitters have slashed .239/.338/.399 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game this season, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and third baseman Todd Frazier have led New York’s hitters. Cabrera is hitting .347/.386/.613 with four home runs, 10 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Frazier (.274/.420/.500) is up to three homers, 14 RBIs and 12 runs scored.
Maintaining a slash line of .261/.386/.505 across 228 plate appearances, Frazier seemed to enjoy hitting righties on the road last season (compared to his overall season line of .214/.345/.425).
For the home team, Atlanta’s pitching staff has yielded 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.24, a WHIP of 1.32 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.8. The bullpen has a 3.36 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 14 games against NL East opponents, Braves starters have an ERA of 3.63 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.61.
The Atlanta offense has produced 5.6 runs per contest, including 5.6 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .257/.324/.374 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Braves’ hitters have been led by second baseman Ozzie Albies and first baseman Freddie Freeman. Albies is slashing .313/.352/.663 with six home runs, 12 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Freeman’s line sits at .284/.443/.463 with 19 hits, 13 RBIs and 13 runs.
Freeman enjoyed hitting against righty pitching at home in 2017, slashing .362/.475/.638 over 160 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .307/.403/.586).
The Mets have gained 6.2 units and are 8-6 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in eight of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 6.5 units and are 12-4 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in six of those games, as opposed to seven which went under the total.
New York Mets at Atlanta Braves MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
New York has posted 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.2 over its last five.
The Mets have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit nine over their last 10.
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