Bartolo Colon (3-0, 2.25 ERA) and Julio Teheran (2-0, 3.71 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the New York Mets (12-3) and the Atlanta Braves (8-6) at Citi Field. The Mets won the last game 3-2, continuing a 10-game winning streak. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Apr. 23 and can be seen on SPSO and SNY.
Colon is 5-2 with a 2.25 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, and 36 strikeouts against the Braves. Travis d’Arnaud (.317, 5 Rs, 2 HRs, 10 RBIs) kept up his hot start yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one run and one RBI. When pitching against the Mets, Teheran is 4-2 with a 3.04 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, and 38 strikeouts. Nick Markakis (.362, 8 Rs, 5 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
New York is a -134 favorite against Atlanta and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Mets have recorded an overall money line of +848 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 8-1. New York is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 9-1 SU record in its last ten outings. New York is one of the best in the NL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.6 per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, the Mets are the fourth-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.09 so far this season.
In the other locker room, Atlanta is coming in with an overall money line of +475 and an impressive record of 6-4 as the dog. They have been playing solid baseball as the underdog with a 4-3 record against NL East rivals, and a 6-4 record SU. Offensively, the Braves have really sputtered in division games. They have decreased their season average of 4.2 runs per game by averaging 3.7 in those contests.
The Mets lead the season series, 3-2. The Mets have a perfect 8-0 record at home (10-2 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they’ll be facing when Teheran takes the mound. Colon (RHP) will be on the hill against the Braves, who have a 6-4 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYM, O/U – Over
Notes
In their last game, the Braves lost by a margin of one run. The Mets are 5-1 in one-run games. The Braves have a 3-3 record in close games.
The Braves are 0-1 when they go into extra innings.
The Braves are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded six strikeouts. The Mets have a record of 8-2 when opponents’ pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Braves are 1-5. The Mets have a 4-3 record when opponents outhit them.
New York ranks near the bottom of the league at 23rd when it comes to home runs, hitting 10 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top half at 12th with 14.
Ranking 11th, Atlanta is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.92 per game. New York ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 8.14.
New York and Atlanta both rank in the top half of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. New York sits at 15th with an OPS of .692 and Atlanta ranks 12th with an OPS of .703.
When the Braves allow at least one home run, they are 2-4. When the Mets allow one or more homers, they have a 7-3 record.
