The New York Mets are paying a visit to Cincinnati to face the Reds at Great American Ball Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will be showing this NL matchup.
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
Cincinnati (+105) is the underdog to New York (-115) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 9.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). You can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at +130 for the Mets -1.5 runs and -150 for the Reds +1.5 runs.
The Reds are just 8-26 SU and 16-17 ATS. The team has lost 15.8 units for moneyline bettors and 6.2 units against the spread (ATS). The Mets are 17-15 SU and have gone 15-16 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 1.7 units for moneyline bettors over the early part of the year and 0.1 units ATS.
Reds games have an over/under record of 15-18 so far in 2018. New York has an over/under record of 16-14-1.
P.J. Conlon is getting the nod for the visiting Mets. Conlon is 0-0 with an ERA. He has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Reds are turning to righty Homer Bailey (0-4, 4.81 ERA), who has 22 strikeouts and 12 walks to his credit as well as a WHIP of 1.25. Bailey made two starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 0-2 record in 2017, compiling a 0-2 record with a 5.25 ERA.
New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.37 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.67 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.84, along with a WHIP of 1.30 and a K/9 of 9.40.
The Mets offense has slashed .230/.318/.364 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 1.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and third baseman Todd Frazier have led New York’s hitters. Cabrera is hitting .333/.382/.577 with six home runs, 21 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while Frazier has a .248 average with five homers, 21 RBIs and 18 runs scored.
Frazier performed well against right-handed pitching on the road in 2017, maintaining a slash line of .261/.386/.505 across 228 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .214/.345/.425).
In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have given up 5.4 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 5.50 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.95 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.
The Cincinnati offense is putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .219/.324/.363 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.
The Reds’ batters have been led by first baseman Joey Votto and third baseman Eugenio Suarez. Votto is slashing .289/.408/.455 with five home runs, 19 RBIs and 13 runs scored, and Suarez’s line is .277/.385/.554 with four homers, 20 RBIs and 10 runs scored.
Suarez performed well at home last year, slashing .274/.383/.595 over 298 plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .260/.367/.461).
The Mets have lost 0.1 units and are 10-13 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to nine that’ve hit the under against y starters.
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in four of New York’s last seven games.
The Mets have lost seven of their last eight games SU while the Reds have lost five of their last six SU.
New York fielders have four errors over the last 10 games, compared to 10 errors for Cincinnati over its last 10.
The Mets have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 11 over their last 10.
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