Jacob deGrom (10-6, 2.13 ERA) starts for the New York Mets (61-52) as they square off against Jorge De La Rosa (7-4, 4.85 ERA) and the Colorado Rockies (47-64) in the third of a four-game series at Citi Field. The Mets won the last game 4-0 and New York leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 12 and can be seen on RTRM and SNY.
deGrom pitched 6.1 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs and striking out seven in a 4-3 defeat to the Rays. Lucas Duda (.247, 57 Rs, 21 HRs, 55 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. De La Rosa went 6.0 innings, surrendering three runs (one unearned), striking out one and walking two in a 5-4 defeat to the Nationals in his last outing. Nolan Arenado (.276, 64 Rs, 27 HRs, 81 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
This one isn’t expected to be close when New York, a big -180 favorite, takes on Colorado. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at seven runs for this matchup. The Mets have recorded an overall money line of +749 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 46-16. New York is an impressive 8-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Mets have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.0 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.7 runs per game. The Mets lead the MLB in batting average with an impressive team average of .237. Crossing over to the pitching staff, the Mets are the top team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.16 so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Colorado has a 34-46 record and an overall money line of -955.
The Mets have the edge in the season series, 2-0. The Mets have an 11-10 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when De La Rosa takes the mound. deGrom (RHP) will be on the hill against the Rockies, who have a 42-45 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYM, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, New York is 25-18, while Colorado is 22-26.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Rockies are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Mets have a 10-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Rockies are 6-44. The Mets have a 14-43 record when opponents outhit them.
New York ranks in the top half of the league at 14th when it comes to home runs, hitting 101 this season. Colorado ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 128.
Ranking 15th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.94 per game. Colorado ranks in the top five at second with 9.34.
Ranking 29th, New York is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.673). Colorado ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .762.
When the Rockies allow at least one home run, they are 24-49. When the Mets allow one or more homers, they have a 25-36 record.
