The New York Mets are heading south to square off against their division rival Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. The matchup will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to SportsNet New York.
New York Mets at Miami Marlins Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Miami (+145) as the underdog to New York (-155). The total stands at 7.5 runs and bettors can wager on either the over or the under for -110. The game’s current runline odds stand at -110 for picking the Mets -1.5 runs and -110 for the Marlins +1.5.
The Marlins are 43-38 against the spread (ATS), but just 32-50 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 0.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.7 units (ATS). Miami has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 32-46 SU and have gone 32-45 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 16.4 units for moneyline bettors and 18.9 units ATS. New York has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven.
Marlins games have a 42-38-1 over/under record so far in 2018. Mets games have gone under 41 times, gone over 33 times and pushed on three occasions.
Jacob deGrom will get the start for the visiting Mets. The right-handed deGrom is 5-3 with a 1.69 ERA and 126 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with 14 strikeouts and a 2.77 ERA against Miami this year (two starts).
The Marlins are sending Sandy Alcantara to the mound. This game represents the first MLB start of the year for the righty Alcantara.
Miami’s pitchers have given up 5.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.78, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.84 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 22 games against divisional opponents, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.07 and the bullpen’s ERA is 7.05.
Miami’s hitters are putting up 3.6 runs per outing, including 3.1 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .257/.326/.371 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Marlins’ hitters have been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro. Anderson is hitting .293/.370/.411 with four home runs, 38 RBIs and 44 runs scored, and Castro’s line is .274/.322/.387 with five homers, 30 RBIs and 47 runs.
In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.95 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.36 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.83, along with a WHIP of 1.27.
The Mets offense has slashed .232/.312/.383 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game this season, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
New York’s offense has been sparked by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario, who’ve collectively belted 17 home runs. Cabrera is hitting .284/.327/.482 with 13 home runs, 44 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Rosario is hitting .245/.273/.363 with four homers, 21 RBIs and 29 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 10.8 units and are 21-33 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 23 of those games, as opposed to 28 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 2.7 units and are 27-31 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 30 of those games, as opposed to 27 which went under the total.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in three of New York’s last seven contests.
Miami has recorded 22.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.2 over its last five.
The Mets have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit seven over their last 10.
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