Logan Verrett (1-1, 3.06 ERA) and the New York Mets (82-61) meet Justin Nicolino (3-3, 3.72 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (61-82) in the first of a three-game division series at Citi Field. The Mets go into this series looking to continue a seven-game winning streak. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Sep. 14 and will air on FSFL and SNY.
In his most recent outing, Verrett pitched 1.0 innings, allowing three runs and striking out two in a 6-4 loss to the Red Sox. Curtis Granderson (.259, 87 Rs, 23 HRs, 64 RBIs, 11 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run and three RBIs. The Marlins were unsuccessful to the Brewers 9-1 the last time Nicolino pitched. He went 4.1 innings, allowing five runs, striking out one and walking one. Justin Bour (.256, 32 Rs, 16 HRs, 54 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday.
New York, a -177 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Miami. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at eight runs. The Mets perform well as a favorite with a 63-24 record and have an overall money line of +1,538. They are 6-2 as the favorite over their last 10 games. New York has averaged 6.3 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 4.2. New York’s pitching staff can be considered one of the best in the NL. The Mets have a team ERA of 3.43, one of the lowest in their league. The Mets lead the league in WHIP at 1.18.
On the other side, the Marlins have a record of 36-53 when they are the underdog and are -1,505 overall with the money line. They have played at the top of their game when rated as the underdog as of late. They managed a 5-1 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 8-2. Miami is a terror on the base paths, ranking fourth in the MLB with 102 stolen bases. Shifting to the pitching staff, they average just 8.4 hits allowed per game, fifth-best in the NL.
The Mets have gotten the best of the Marlins in head-to-head matchups this season, going 10-6. This game will feature Nicolino (RHP) on the mound against the Mets, who have a 64-48 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Verrett will take the mound against the Marlins, who have a 48-64 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYM, O/U – Over
Notes
New York recorded at least two errors for the 15th time this season.
The Mets are coming into this matchup after a high-scoring game where they scored a whopping 10 runs. The Marlins have a 0-5 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 13-54. The Mets have a 17-50 record when opponents outhit them.
Miami ranks near the bottom of the league at 29th when it comes to home runs, hitting 103 this season. New York ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 156.
Ranking 11th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.45 per game. Miami ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.63.
Ranking 29th, Miami is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.686). New York ranks in the bottom half at 18th with an OPS of .717.
The Marlins are 27-53 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Mets are 39-44 when they allow at least one homer.
