Noah Syndergaard (0-1, 5.06 ERA) and Wily Peralta (1-4, 3.80 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the New York Mets (21-16) and the Milwaukee Brewers (13-24) at Citi Field. The Mets won the last game 14-1 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 17 and can be seen on FSN-WI and PIX11.
Syndergaard pitched 5.1 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs, striking out six and walking four in a 6-1 defeat to the Cubs. Wilmer Flores (.250, 17 Rs, 6 HRs, 15 RBIs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with two runs, one home run, and four RBIs. Peralta is 3-0 with a 1.35 ERA against the Mets in his career. He takes on a below-average New York offense that’s batting just .238. Gerardo Parra (.311, 13 Rs, 2 HRs, 14 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
New York is a -120 favorite against Milwaukee and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Mets have recorded an overall money line of +425 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 15-4. Opposing offenses have been stifled by the Mets, who have a team ERA of only 3.11. The Mets are the second-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.15 so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Milwaukee has a 9-13 record and an overall money line of -939. Offensively, the Brewers have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.9 runs per game by averaging 5.4 during that stretch. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Brewers are fifth in the NL on the road with an average of 8.0 hits allowed per away game.
The Mets have a 17-11 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Peralta takes the mound. Syndergaard (RHP) will be on the hill against the Brewers, who have an 11-17 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYM, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, New York is 13-5, while Milwaukee is 5-9.
The Mets are coming into this matchup after a high-scoring game where they scored a whopping 14 runs. The Brewers have a 0-3 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 4-19. The Mets have a 7-13 record when opponents outhit them.
New York ranks near the bottom of the league at 22nd when it comes to home runs, hitting 29 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 36.
New York and Milwaukee both rank in the top half of the league in hits. New York sits at 15th with 7.53 hits per game and Milwaukee ranks 14th with 7.58.
New York and Milwaukee both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. New York sits at 28th with an OPS of .664 and Milwaukee ranks 26th with an OPS of .666.
The Brewers are 9-19 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Mets are 10-11 when they allow at least one homer.
