Bartolo Colon (6-1, 3.30 ERA) and Kyle Lohse (2-4, 7.03 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the New York Mets (20-15) and the Milwaukee Brewers (12-23) at Citi Field. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, May. 15 and can be seen on FSN-WI and SNY.
Colon is 3-1 with a 3.97 ERA in his appearances against the Brewers, and goes up against a below-average Milwaukee offense which is batting just .228 this season. Lucas Duda (.296, 19 Rs, 3 HRs, 13 RBIs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. Lohse is 2-4 with a 4.68 ERA against the Mets in his career. He is up against a below-average New York offense that’s batting just .236. Ryan Braun (.248, 20 Rs, 6 HRs, 18 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 Wednesday.
New York is a -148 favorite against Milwaukee and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Mets have recorded an overall money line of +650 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 15-3. The Mets have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 2.4 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.7 runs per game. New York is one of the best in the NL in terms of walks at home, earning an average of 3.3 per game. As for the pitchers, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Mets, who have a team ERA of only 2.99. The Mets are the third-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.16 so far this season.
Over in the other dugout, Milwaukee is coming in with an overall money line of -1,054 and a disappointing record of 8-13 as the underdog. Offensively, the Brewers have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.8 runs per game by averaging 5.1 during that stretch.
The Mets have a great 12-2 record at home (17-10 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they’ll be facing when Lohse takes the mound. Colon (RHP) will be on the hill against the Brewers, who have a 10-17 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYM, O/U – Over
Notes
The Brewers are 1-1 when they go into extra innings.
The Brewers managed to give up four walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Mets who are heading in with an 8-3 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Brewers are 8-2. The Mets have an 11-2 record when outhitting opponents.
Both falling near the bottom of the league based on total runs this season, New York ranks 24th with 130 runs and Milwaukee is 21st with 133.
Ranking 24th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 84 this season. New York ranks in the bottom half at 18th with 98.
The Mets are 12-5 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Brewers are 11-9 when they hit at least one homer.
