The New York Mets are set to take on the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in the 2 game of a divisional doubleheader. The matchup will begin at 7:35 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Pix11 to catch the game.
New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
The Phillies are 66-53 straight up (SU) and 58-60 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 11.6 units for moneyline bettors while earning 10.1 units (ATS). Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Mets are 51-67 SU and have gone 53-63 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 19.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 16.3 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Philadelphia games have had an over/under record of 49-64-5 in 2018. The Mets have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 50-60-6.
Left-hander Steven Matz will get the nod for New York. Matz is 5-9 with a 4.35 ERA and 99 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA against Philadelphia this year.
The Phillies will turn to righty Zach Eflin (8-4, 3.57 ERA), who has 86 strikeouts and 19 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.10. Eflin is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA in one start against New York this year.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.71, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has a 3.76 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 43 divisional games, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.41 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.21.
The Philadelphia hitters have put up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .213/.275/.323 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have paced the Phillies’ offense this year. Herrera is hitting .270/.324/.447 with 19 home runs, 62 RBIs and 54 runs scored, while Hernandez’s line sits at .258/.368/.365 with 10 homers, 38 RBIs, 73 runs and 14 steals.
In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.00 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.02 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.89, along with a K/9 of 8.19.
The Mets offense has slashed .232/.314/.385 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
New York’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and outfielder Brandon Nimmo, who’ve collectively launched 33 home runs. Cabrera is hitting .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Nimmo is hitting .263/.387/.503 with 15 homers, 39 RBIs and 65 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 13.2 units and are 40-47 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over’s hit in 38 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve hit the under against lefties.
New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in only one of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
The Mets have won three of their last four games SU.
New York fielders have committed two errors over their last five games, compared to five errors for Philadelphia over its last five.
The Mets have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
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