The Philadelphia Phillies are set to do battle against the New York Mets at Citizens Bank Park. SportsNet New York is in line to showcase the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 6:05 p.m. ET.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Vegas is listing New York (+145) as the underdog to Philadelphia (-155). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over seven runs and +100 for under seven. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Mets +1.5 runs (-150) and Phillies -1.5 runs (+130).
The Mets are 52-68 SU and are 54-63 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 18.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 14.9 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 67-54 SU and 59-60 ATS. They’ve gained 12.6 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 9.1 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 50-64-5 in 2018. The Mets have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 51-60-6.
Right-hander Noah Syndergaard is getting the start for New York. Syndergaard is 8-2 with a 3.22 ERA and 100 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Philadelphia this year.
The Phillies are sending righty Aaron Nola (13-3, 2.28 ERA) to the mound. Nola has 149 punchouts and 43 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.00. Nola is 2-0 with 18 strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA over three starts against New York this year.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has yielded 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.76, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has a 3.91 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 45 games against NL East foes, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.56 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.58.
The Philadelphia offense has put up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .259/.304/.447 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Phillies’ offense has been led by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is hitting .269/.323/.445 with 19 home runs, 62 RBIs and 54 runs scored, while Hernandez is hitting .258 with 10 homers, 39 RBIs, 76 runs and 15 steals.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.06 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.97 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.85, along with a WHIP of 1.26.
Mets hitters have slashed .235/.317/.391 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 11.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
New York’s hitters have been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario. Cabrera is slashing .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Rosario is slashing .245/.289/.374 with six homers, 37 RBIs, 53 runs and 14 stolen bases.
The Mets have lost 12.2 units and are 41-47 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 39 of those games, as opposed to 44 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 11.3 units and are 46-46 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 38 of those games, compared to 50 that went under the total.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in just two of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
The Mets have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.
New York fielders have five errors over the last 10 games, compared to 12 errors for Philadelphia over its last 10.
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