The New York Mets will be taking on their divisional rival Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. Pix11 will broadcast the action. The game is slated to get going at 4:05 p.m. ET.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
New York (-110) is favored against Philadelphia (+100) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 7.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). The game’s most recent runline odds sit at +135 for picking the Mets -1.5 runs and -155 for the Phillies +1.5 runs.
The Mets have gone 52-69 SU this year and are 55-64 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 18.1 units for moneyline bettors and 15.2 units ATS. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 68-54 SU and 60-61 ATS. They’ve gained 12.1 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 9.0 units ATS.
Phillies games have had an over/under record of 52-64-5 in 2018. New York has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 53-60-6.
Right-hander Jacob deGrom is projected to start for the visiting Mets. deGrom (7-7, 1.81 ERA) has recorded 195 strikeouts in 159 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with nine strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Philadelphia this year (two starts).
The Phillies will turn to righty Jake Arrieta (9-7, 3.33 ERA), who has 95 punchouts and 42 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.23. Arrieta is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against New York this year.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.73 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.91 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 46 games against NL East foes, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.50 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.58.
The Philadelphia offense has produced 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .272/.317/.467 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Phillies’ batters have been led by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is hitting .269/.323/.445 with 19 home runs, 62 RBIs and 54 runs scored, while Hernandez’s line sits at .260/.369/.367 with 10 homers, 39 RBIs, 77 runs and 16 stolen bases.
For the visitors, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.08 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.96 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.83, along with a K-per-9 of 8.14.
Mets hitters have slashed .235/.317/.389 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 10.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have paced New York’s hitters. Cabrera is slashing .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Rosario is hitting .242/.286/.370 with six homers, 37 RBIs, 53 runs and 14 stolen bases.
The Mets have lost 13.2 units and are 41-48 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 40 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 9.8 units and are 46-47 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 39 of those games, compared to 50 that went under the total.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in four of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
New York has recorded 30.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 36.6 over its last five.
The Mets have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 10 over their last 10.
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