The New York Mets are paying a visit to Philadelphia to square off against their NL East rival Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will be airing the matchup.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
New York (+150) is the underdog against Philadelphia (-160) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at -145 for the Mets +1.5 runs and +125 for the Phillies -1.5 runs.
The Mets have gone 18-17 SU this year and are 15-20 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline through the early part of the season and 4.7 units ATS. New York has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 22-15 SU and 16-20 ATS. They’ve gained 4.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 7.0 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 18-15-3 thus far in 2018. New York has an over/under record of 17-17-1.
Steven Matz will get the start for the visiting Mets. The left-handed Matz is 1-3 with a 4.23 ERA and 31 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 3.18 ERA across five and two-third innings).
The Phillies are handing the ball to righty Jake Arrieta (3-1, 3.15 ERA), who’s got 22 strikeouts and 12 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.08. Arrieta did not record a start against the Mets in 2017.
New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.44 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.40 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.95, along with a K/9 of 8.93.
Mets hitters have slashed .230/.315/.372 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game this year, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and right fielder Brandon Nimmo have led New York’s offense. Cabrera is hitting .319/.365/.541 with six home runs, 22 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while Nimmo is hitting .255 with one homers, three RBIs and 11 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.72, a WHIP of 1.19 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.7. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.19, a WHIP of 1.27 and a K/9 of 9.4. In 20 divisional games, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.40 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.22.
The Philadelphia hitters are putting up 4.8 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 7.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .292/.370/.532 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Phillies’ batters have been led by outfielders Odubel Herrera and Rhys Hoskins. Herrera is hitting .353/.420/.541 with five home runs, 23 RBIs and 22 runs scored, and Hoskins has produced a line of .273/.416/.479 with five homers, 25 RBIs and 22 runs.
The Mets have lost 1.2 units and are 10-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 14 of those games, as opposed to 11 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 3.3 units and are 5-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in five of those games, as opposed to three which went under the total.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The Mets have lost eight of their last nine games SU.
New York has posted 19.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.0 over its last five.
The Mets have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 16 over their last 10.
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