The New York Mets are set to face their divisional rival Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. SportsNet New York will be showing the action and the game will get going at 6:05 p.m. ET.
New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Vegas is listing New York (-125) as the favorite over Philadelphia (+115). The total is sitting at 7.5 runs and gamblers can wager on the over for even money (+100) or the under for -120. Runline odds stand at +120 for picking the Mets -1.5 runs and -140 for the Phillies +1.5 runs.
The Mets have gone 70-81 SU this year and are 75-74 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.8 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 77-73 SU and 68-81 ATS. The team’s lost 3.0 units for moneyline bettors and 22.9 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Phillies games have a 68-75-6 over/under record in 2018. New York has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 66-74-9.
Noah Syndergaard is getting the nod for New York. The right-handed Syndergaard is 12-3 with a 3.26 ERA and 138 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 16 strikeouts and a 5.51 ERA against Philadelphia this year (three starts).
The Phillies are sending righty Zach Eflin (10-7, 4.26 ERA) to the mound. Eflin has 111 strikeouts and 31 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.27. Eflin is 1-1 with 14 strikeouts and a 7.98 ERA across three starts against New York this year.
New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.69 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.14 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.99, along with a WHIP of 1.20.
Mets hitters have slashed .236/.315/.394 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Shortstop Amed Rosario and right fielder Michael Conforto have led New York’s offense. The speedy Rosario is hitting .256/.294/.390 with nine home runs, 49 RBIs, 72 runs and 19 steals, while Conforto has a .241 average with 26 homers, 75 RBIs and 72 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.96 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 68 divisional games, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.09 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.43.
The Philadelphia offense has produced 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .250/.346/.457 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and right fielder Odubel Herrera have led the Phillies’ offense this year. Hernandez is hitting .256/.359/.362 with 13 home runs, 54 RBIs, 86 runs and 19 stolen bases, while Herrera’s line is .255/.313/.423 with 21 homers, 65 RBIs and 63 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 4.0 units and are 55-53 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 50 of those games, compared to 52 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Phillies have lost 5.8 units and are 52-61 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 50 of those games, compared to 59 that went under the total.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in only two of New York’s last seven contests.
New York has posted 21.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.8 over its last five.
The Mets have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 13 over their last 10.
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