Matt Harvey (1-0, 0.00 ERA) and David Buchanan (0-1, 18.00 ERA) take the hill in the second of a three-game series between the New York Mets (4-3) and the Philadelphia Phillies (3-4) at Citi Field. The Mets won the last game 2-0 and New York leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Apr. 14 and can be seen on CSN-PHI and SNY.
Harvey is 4-0 with a 1.08 ERA, 0.69 WHIP, and 38 strikeouts against the Phillies. David Wright (.321 ) went 1 for 3 yesterday. Against the Mets, Buchanan is 0-2 with a 3.38 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, and 10 strikeouts. Cody Asche (.444 ) has been successful at the plate to the start the season for the Phillies, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
This one isn’t expected to be close when New York, a substantial -226 favorite, takes on Philadelphia. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently six runs. New York is one of the best in the NL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.2 per game. Turning to the pitchers, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Mets, who have a team ERA of only 3.00. The Mets are the fourth-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.02 so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Philadelphia has a 3-2 record and an overall money line of +68. Philadelphia is excellent at not striking out on the road with an NL-low 0.0 per game. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has set the standard for its league, with an NL-low 0.00 ERA on the road. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Phillies are the best in the NL on the road with an average of 0.0 hits allowed per away game.
The Mets have the edge in the season series, 1-0.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYM, O/U – Over
Notes
New York earned its first shutout of the season in its last game. Philadelphia has been shut out two times this season.
Philadelphia has won 67% (2-1) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, New York has won 75% (3-1) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Mets are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Phillies have a 2-2 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Mets have a slight leg up on the Phillies, as the Mets have won their last two games while the Phillies have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Phillies are 3-1. The Mets have a 3-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 25th, Philadelphia sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 16 this season. New York ranks in the bottom half at 18th with 22.
Ranking 11th, Philadelphia is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 19 this season. New York ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 23.
When the Mets hit at least one home run, the team is 1-1. Philadelphia has the same record when it hits one or more homers.