The Pittsburgh Pirates are playing host to the New York Mets at PNC Park. SportsNet New York will televise this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.
New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Pittsburgh (-175) is hosting this one as the favorite over New York (+165) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Mets +1.5 runs (-135) and Pirates -1.5 runs (+115).
The Pirates are 53-50 straight up (SU) and 51-51 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a whole lot for gamblers, gaining 3.5 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 1.5 units (ATS). Pittsburgh has covered the spread in each of its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Mets are 42-57 SU and have gone 43-54 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 18.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 16.9 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Pittsburgh games have a 49-46-7 over/under record in 2018. New York has been a decent under bet with a total record of 42-51-4.
The left-handed Steven Matz is getting the nod for the visiting Mets. Matz is 4-8 with a 3.65 ERA and 88 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA against Pittsburgh this year.
The Pirates are putting the ball in the right hand of Nick Kingham (5-4, 4.11 ERA, 1.11 WHIP), who has 54 punchouts and 14 walks. Kingham hasn’t faced the Mets yet this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.
As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.18, a WHIP of 1.28 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.5. The bullpen has a 4.28 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.
The Pittsburgh hitters have put up 4.5 runs per outing, including 6.5 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .314/.341/.570 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte have led the Pirates’ batters this year. Dickerson is slashing .318/.351/.517 with 11 home runs, 44 RBIs and 50 runs scored, while Marte is batting .292 with 16 homers, 54 RBIs, 57 runs and 25 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.98 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.98 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.72, along with a WHIP of 1.27.
The Mets offense has slashed .227/.309/.377 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario continue to lead New York’s offense. Cabrera is slashing .273/.324/.473 with 17 home runs, 54 RBIs and 46 runs scored, while Rosario (.249/.292/.380) has produced four homers, 26 RBIs and 37 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 11.2 units and are 31-40 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 31 of those games, compared to 36 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 4.8 units and are 12-14 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 10 that went under the total.
New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in four of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
The Mets have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit 22 over their last 10.
New York has posted 19.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.8 over its last five.
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