The Pittsburgh Pirates are playing host to the New York Mets at PNC Park. SportsNet New York will be airing this NL showdown and the game gets going at 7:05 p.m. ET.
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Pittsburgh (-165) as the favorite over New York (+155). The total stands at 8.5 runs and bettors can take the over for +100 and the under for -120. The game’s runline odds stand at -140 for picking the Mets +1.5 runs and +120 for the Pirates -1.5 runs.
The Mets have gone 43-57 SU this year and are 44-54 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 17.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 15.2 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 53-51 SU and 51-52 ATS. They’ve gained 2.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 2.6 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Pittsburgh games have an over/under record of 49-47-7 in 2018. New York has been a decent under bet with a total record of 43-51-4.
Jason Vargas will get the start for New York. The southpaw Vargas is 2-6 with an 8.60 ERA and 32 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Pirates this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Pirates will turn to righty Ivan Nova (6-6, 4.28 ERA) to the mound. Nova has 81 strikeouts and 19 walks to his name, as well as a 1.26 WHIP. Nova is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA in one start against New York this year.
Pittsburgh’s pitchers have given up 4.6 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.25, a WHIP of 1.29 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.5. The bullpen has a 4.34 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.
The Pittsburgh offense is putting up 4.6 runs per outing, including 6.4 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .292/.328/.560 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Pirates’ offense has been led by outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte. Dickerson is slashing .318/.351/.517 with 11 home runs, 44 RBIs and 50 runs scored, and Marte is batting .292 with 16 homers, 54 RBIs, 57 runs and 25 stolen bases.
For the visitors, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.00 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.03 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.73, along with a K/9 of 8.49.
The Mets offense has slashed .229/.312/.380 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game this year, including 5.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario continue to lead New York’s hitters. Cabrera is hitting .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Rosario is slashing .251/.293/.379 with four homers, 27 RBIs and 39 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 11.2 units and are 31-40 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 31 of those games, as opposed to 36 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 4.8 units and are 12-14 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 10 which went under the total.
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
New York has recorded 13 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Pittsburgh has 22 XBH over its last five.
The Mets have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit 23 over their last 10.
Pittsburgh has recorded 26.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.8 over its last five.
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