The New York Mets will head west to face the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. SportsNet New York is in line to televise this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 8:15 p.m. ET.
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds
St. Louis (-165) is the favorite over New York (+155) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. You can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -140 for the Mets +1.5 runs and +120 for the Cardinals -1.5.
The Mets have gone 14-6 SU this year and are 12-8 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 8.0 units for moneyline gamblers through the early part of the year and 6.3 units ATS. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 13-8 SU and 12-9 ATS. They’ve gained 3.5 units for moneyline bettors and 1.4 units ATS.
Cardinals games have an over/under record of 10-11 thus far in 2018. New York has an over/under record of 10-10.
Right-hander Zack Wheeler is the projected starter for New York. Wheeler is 1-1 with a 2.77 ERA and nine strikeouts. He has yet to face St. Louis this year, but he did make two starts against the Cardinals in 2017, compiling a 0-2 record against them with a 4.76 ERA and 10 strikeouts.
The Cardinals are putting the ball in the hands of righty Luke Weaver (2-1, 4.22 ERA), who has 20 strikeouts and six walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.27. Weaver is 1-0 with three strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA against New York this year.
As a unit, St. Louis’ pitchers have given up 3.5 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 3.12 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.59 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.
The St. Louis hitters have produced 4.8 runs per outing, including 5.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .248/.373/.416 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Cardinals’ batters have been led by first baseman Jose Martinez and right fielder Tommy Pham. Martinez is slashing .329/.409/.526 with three home runs, 16 RBIs and seven runs scored, and Pham’s line is .318/.444/.455 with 21 hits, five RBIs, 18 runs and five stolen bases.
Martinez had a minor drop-off in production when hitting righty pitching last year, slashing .282/.346/.427 over 237 plate appearances (his overall season line was .309/.379/.518).
In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.71 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 10.32 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.47, along with a K/9 of 10.40.
The Mets offense has slashed .238/.336/.389 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
New York’s offense has been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and third baseman Todd Frazier. Cabrera is slashing .354/.391/.608 with four home runs, 12 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Frazier is slashing .258/.400/.470 with three homers, 14 RBIs and 12 runs scored.
Compared to his total season slash line of .214/.345/.425, Frazier thrived batting against righty pitching on the road last season, maintaining a slash line of .261/.386/.505 across 228 such plate appearances.
The Mets have gained 4.5 units and are 8-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in eight of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cardinals have netted 1.7 units and are 8-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in eight of those games, compared to seven which went under the total.
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in three of New York’s last seven games.
The Cardinals have won eight of their last nine games SU.
St. Louis has recorded 22.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.4 over its last five.
The Mets have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit 16 over their last 10.
*****
