In the first of a two-game series between the New York Mets (34-30) and the Toronto Blue Jays (34-30) at Citi Field, Noah Syndergaard (2-4, 4.15 ERA) and Mark Buehrle (7-4, 4.25 ERA) get the start. The Blue Jays enter this series on an 11-game winning streak. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Jun. 15 and will air on RSN and SNY.
In his last start, Syndergaard pitched 6.0 innings, giving up four runs, striking out two and walking one in a 5-0 loss to the Giants. Lucas Duda (.278, 35 Rs, 9 HRs, 28 RBIs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 5 with two runs. In his career against the Mets, Buehrle is 0-3 with a 4.39 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, and 13 strikeouts. Chris Colabello (.343, 24 Rs, 4 HRs, 22 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been doing well, going 2 for 5 yesterday with three runs and one RBI.
New York is a -130 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. The Mets perform well as a favorite with a 27-9 record and have an overall money line of +125. They have a 3-2 SU record in games versus the AL, but have gone 2-0 as the favorite. The Mets are fourth in the league in WHIP at 1.20.
On the other side, the Blue Jays have a record of 13-18 when they are the underdog and are +128 overall with the money line. Opponents have not been able to figure out how to stop Toronto recently. Over the past 10 matchups, they have not dropped a game and have a 4-0 record when they were an underdog to win. The Blue Jays are the top-ranked scoring offense in the AL when playing on the road, averaging five runs per game so far. Toronto is one of the top road hitting teams in the AL with an average of 8.9 hits per contest. Playing NL opponents really brings the best out of the Toronto pitchers. They allow 3.4 runs per game against teams in the NL, which is lower than their season average of 4.4.
This game will feature Buehrle (LHP) on the mound against the Mets, who have a 5-6 record when they take on a left-handed starter. The right-handed Syndergaard will take the mound against the Blue Jays, who have a 24-26 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – TOR, O/U – Over
Notes
When the Mets and the Blue Jays play into extra innings, both teams have a 2-1 record.
The Blue Jays managed to give up six walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Mets who are heading in with a 5-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Blue Jays are 30-5. The Mets have a 21-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Toronto tops the league in runs with 356 this season. New York ranks near the bottom at 21st with 247.
Ranking 17th, New York is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 176 this season. Toronto ranks in the top five at fifth with 204.
When the Mets hit at least one home run, they are 23-10, well-matched with the Blue Jays who are 30-15 when hitting one or more homers.
