Dillon Gee (0-1, 4.26 ERA) and Doug Fister (1-1, 3.28 ERA) start in the last of a four-game series between the New York Mets (16-9) and the Washington Nationals (11-14) at Citi Field. The Nationals won the last game 1-0 and Washington leads the series 2-1. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 3 and can be seen on MASN and SNY.
Gee is 8-4 with a 3.69 ERA in his appearances against the Nationals, and goes up against a below-average Washington offense which is batting just .236 this season. Juan Lagares (.313, 13 Rs, 11 RBIs, 1 SB) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4. Fister is 4-0 with a 1.01 ERA against the Mets in his career. He takes on a below-average New York offense that’s batting just .239. Danny Espinosa (.273, 10 Rs, 2 HRs, 5 RBIs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
Washington is a slim -109 favorite over New York. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at seven runs for this matchup. The Mets have an overall money line of +887 and a record as the underdog of 5-7. New York has recorded a disappointing 2-5 record as the underdog over its last 10 games. The Mets have no trouble scoring as they rank second in the NL in home offense with 4.9 runs per game. Crossing over to the pitching staff, the Mets are the fourth-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.11 so far this season.
In games where it is the favorite, Washington has a 8-10 record and an overall money line of -751. They played poorly as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 2-5 record, and a 3-7 record SU. The Nationals allow 4.6 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 5.8 runs per game during that span.
The Mets have a great 10-1 record at home (13-7 overall) against right-handed starting pitchers, which is what they’ll be facing when Fister takes the mound. Gee (RHP) will be on the hill against the Nationals, who have a 7-12 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYM, O/U – Over
Notes
In their last game, the Nationals won by a margin of one run. The Mets are 5-3 in one-run games. The Nationals also have a 5-3 record in close games.
When leading after 7 innings, New York is 10-3, while Washington is 6-7.
The Mets are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Nationals have a 1-4 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Nationals are 2-13. The Mets have a 6-8 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 21st in home runs, New York has hit 17 this season. Washington ranks 13th with 20 home runs.
Ranking 11th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.83 per game. Washington ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 7.96.
New York and Washington both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. New York sits at 23rd with an OPS of .667 and Washington ranks 22nd with an OPS of .673.
The Nationals are 2-6 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Mets are 8-6 when they allow at least one homer.
