In the first of a four-game series between the New York Mets (15-7) and the Washington Nationals (15-7) at Citi Field, Jacob deGrom (2-2, 2.96 ERA) and Stephen Strasburg (1-2, 4.88 ERA) get the start. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Apr. 30 and will air on MASN and SNY.
deGrom has a 3.75 ERA and a 0-1 record in his career against the Nationals, and faces a struggling Washington offense that’s hitting just .232 on the year. Lucas Duda (.312, 13 Rs, 2 HRs, 12 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run and one RBI. In his career against the Mets, Strasburg is 3-2 with a 2.55 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and 54 strikeouts. Bryce Harper (.274, 17 Rs, 5 HRs, 12 RBIs) has been hitting the ball well for the Nationals, going 2 for 4 yesterday with three runs.
New York is favored by a small -106 margin in its matchup against Washington. The matchup currently has a six-run Over/Under (O/U). The Mets perform well as a favorite with a 10-1 record and have an overall money line of +995. They have SU record of 7-3 and are unbeaten as the favorite (5-0) over their last 10 games. The Mets have one of the most prolific offenses in the entire NL, averaging 4.4 runs per game. The Mets are a superb hitting team with 8.6 hits per home game, one of the highest marks in the NL. The Mets typically don’t swing at bad pitches, which has led to an NL-high 4.2 walks per home game. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Mets rank second in the NL in ERA with a 3.00 team average. The Mets don’t allow many hitters to get on base, ranking fourth in the league with a 1.10 WHIP.
Moving on to the away team, the Nationals come into this game with a weak win percentage of .400 when playing as the underdog (2-3) and an overall money line of -851. Against divisional foes, they are 6-9 SU and have an unblemished 1-0 record when they were an underdog to win.
The Mets are 2-1 against the Nationals this season. This game will feature Strasburg (RHP) on the mound against the Mets, who have not lost a game (9-0) when they take on a right-handed starter at home. The right-handed deGrom will take the mound against the Nationals, who have a 6-11 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYM, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, New York is 10-3, while Washington is 6-7.
The Mets are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Nationals have a 0-3 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Nationals have a slight leg up on the Mets, as the Nationals have won their last two games while the Mets have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Nationals are 6-1. The Mets have an 8-1 record when outhitting opponents.
Tied at 11th for total runs, New York and Washington have each notched 95 runs this season.
New York and Washington both rank in the top 10 of the league in walks. New York sits at eighth with 72 this season and Washington ranks seventh with 74.
When the Mets hit at least one home run, they are 8-3. When the Nationals hit at least one homer, they have an 8-6 record.
