The New York Yankees will be taking on their divisional foe Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be showing the matchup and the game gets going at 7:05 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Odds
Vegas is listing Baltimore (+130) as the underdog to New York (-140). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds listed at -110 for over 9.5 runs and -110 for under 9.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at +105 for the Yankees -1.5 runs and -125 for the Orioles +1.5.
The Yankees have gone 59-31 SU this year and are 48-41 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 10.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 5.5 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 26-66 SU and 34-57 ATS. The team’s lost 38.4 units for moneyline bettors and 30.9 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Baltimore games have an over/under record of 36-52-3 so far in 2018. New York has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 38-48-3.
The right-handed Sonny Gray is projected to start for New York. Gray (5-7, 5.85 ERA) has recorded 77 punchouts in 84.2 innings so far. He’s 2-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against Baltimore this year (two starts).
The Orioles are sending righty Dylan Bundy (6-8, 4.08 ERA) to the mound. Bundy has 110 strikeouts and 30 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.27. Bundy hasn’t faced the Yankees yet this year, but he made three starts against them in 2017, putting together a 1-2 record with a 5.29 ERA.
New York’s pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.92 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.95 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 2.74, along with a K/9 of 11.56.
Yankees hitters have slashed .252/.333/.461 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game this season, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge have paced New York’s offense. Stanton is hitting .269/.340/.514 with 22 home runs, 52 RBIs and 55 runs scored, while Judge has a .281 average with 25 homers, 60 RBIs and 64 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.25, a WHIP of 1.49 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 4.37 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 35 games against divisional foes, Orioles starters have an ERA of 6.01 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.75.
The Baltimore offense has put up 3.6 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .239/.315/.454 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones have led the Orioles’ offense this year. Machado is hitting .314/.385/.574 with 23 home runs, 63 RBIs, 46 runs and seven steals, and the line for Jones stands at .281/.307/.432 with 10 homers, 33 RBIs and 36 runs.
The Yankees have lost 3.6 units and are 33-27 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 27 of those games, compared to 32 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 31.8 units and are 20-40 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 24 of those games, as opposed to 34 which went under the total.
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in three of New York’s last seven games.
Baltimore has recorded 19.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.2 over its last five.
The Yankees have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 14 over their last 10.
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