The New York Yankees will make a road trip to Boston to square off against their division foe Red Sox at Fenway Park. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and Pix11 will be airing the action.
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Odds
New York (-120) is favored over Boston (+110) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at nine runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at +105 for the under and -125 for the over. Runline odds stand at +125 for picking the Yankees -1.5 runs and -145 for the Red Sox +1.5.
The Red Sox are 107-52 straight up (SU) and 93-66 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 33.4 units for moneyline bettors and 24.4 units (ATS). Boston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Yankees have gone 98-61 SU this year and are 77-81 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 11.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 14.8 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Red Sox games have a 74-77-8 over/under record in 2018. Yankees games have gone under 78 times, gone over 73 times and pushed on seven occasions.
The southpaw J.A. Happ will get the start for the visiting Yankees. Happ is 16-6 with a 3.57 ERA and 186 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with 22 strikeouts and a 0.54 ERA against Boston this year (three starts).
The Red Sox are putting the ball in the left hand of Brian Johnson (4-4, 4.11 ERA), who has 85 punchouts and 36 walks this season as well as a 1.42 WHIP. Johnson is 1-0 with 16 strikeouts and a 3.72 ERA in one start against New York this year.
New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.00 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.18 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.36, along with a K/9 of 11.38.
The Yankees offense has slashed .249/.332/.450 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game this year, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
New York’s hitters have been paced by Miguel Andujar and Giancarlo Stanton. Andujar is slashing .296/.328/.525 with 27 home runs, 90 RBIs and 80 runs scored, while Stanton is hitting .262 with 37 homers, 97 RBIs and 101 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Boston’s pitching staff has allowed 3.9 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.78, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.6. The bullpen has a 3.60 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 73 divisional games, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 3.77 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.03.
The Boston offense is putting up 5.4 runs per contest, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .281/.373/.516 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Red Sox hitters have been led by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts. Martinez is slashing .330/.403/.629 with 42 home runs, 127 RBIs and 109 runs scored, and Betts has produced a line of .346/.437/.643 with 32 homers, 80 RBIs, 126 runs and 30 steals.
The Yankees have gained 1.9 units and are 19-25 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 19 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 1.1 units and are 19-17 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 16 of those games, as opposed to 18 which went under the total.
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
New York has logged 21 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Boston has 26 XBH over its last five.
The Yankees have won three of their last four games SU.
Boston has recorded 26.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 28.6 over its last five.
The Yankees have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 16 over their last 10.
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