The New York Yankees will take on their division rival Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. The matchup can be viewed across the country on ESPN and the game gets underway 8:08 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Odds
New York (+115) is coming into this one as the underdog against Boston (-125) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -180 for picking the Yankees +1.5 runs and +160 for the Red Sox -1.5.
The Yankees are 68-41 SU and are 54-54 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle very much this year, losing 0.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.5 units ATS. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 78-34 SU and 66-45 ATS. They’ve gained 27.4 units for moneyline bettors and 20.9 units ATS.
Red Sox games have an over/under record of 51-57-3 in 2018. The Yankees have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 48-55-5.
Masahiro Tanaka is getting the start for the visiting Yankees. The right-handed Tanaka is 9-2 with a 3.84 ERA and 100 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with six strikeouts and an 8.71 ERA against Boston this year (two starts).
The Red Sox are sending lefty David Price (11-6, 3.97 ERA) to the mound. Price has 119 strikeouts and 36 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.22. Price is 0-2 with four strikeouts and a 24.92 ERA across two starts against New York this year.
Boston’s pitching staff has allowed 3.6 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 3.49 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.37 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 50 divisional games, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 3.46 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.13.
The Boston offense is putting up 5.3 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .253/.318/.461 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Red Sox batters have been led by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts. Martinez is slashing .325/.392/.645 with 33 home runs, 91 RBIs and 80 runs scored, and the line for Betts stands at .341/.425/.645 with 25 homers, 57 RBIs, 87 runs and 21 stolen bases.
For the visitors, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.11 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.81 K/9. The bullpen has managed a solid ERA of just 3.11, along with a WHIP of 1.24 and a K/9 of 11.51.
Yankees hitters have slashed .254/.334/.456 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
New York’s hitters have been paced by Giancarlo Stanton and Didi Gregorius. Stanton is hitting .279/.342/.513 with 25 home runs, 66 RBIs and 68 runs scored, while Gregorius (.268/.327/.484) is up to 20 homers, 65 RBIs, 67 runs and 10 stolen bases.
The Yankees have gained 13.7 units and are 15-16 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 13 of those games, as opposed to 16 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 25.3 units and are 51-32 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 38 of those games, compared to 43 that went under the total.
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in just two of New York’s last seven games.
The Red Sox have won seven of their last eight games SU.
Boston has posted 23.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.2 over its last five.
The Yankees have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
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