in , ,

New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers Free Pick 04/14/18

Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees will be facing off against the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park. YES Network will be televising this AL showdown and the game gets going at 1:10 p.m. ET.

New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers Odds

The Tigers are 4-9 SU and 5-7 ATS. The team’s lost 3.4 units for moneyline bettors and 2.4 units against the spread (ATS). Detroit has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Yankees have gone 7-7 SU this year and are 6-7 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 3.8 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 3.1 units ATS. New York has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Detroit games have a 4-8 over/under record so far in 2018. The Yankees have an over/under record of 8-4-1.

The Yankees have gained 2.0 units and are 3-1 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in three of those games, compared to one that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 3.4 units and are 5-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in four of those games, as opposed to eight that’ve gone under.

Luis Cessa (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Yankees. The right-handed Cessa started five games last year and finished the season 0-3 overall with a 4.75 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP.

The Tigers are going with lefty Francisco Liriano (1-1, 2.13 ERA) as their starter. Liriano started 18 games last year while finishing the season 6-7 overall with a 5.66 ERA and a 1.63 WHIP.

Detroit’s pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.99, a WHIP of 1.17 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.0. The bullpen has a 3.93 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.2 K/9.

The Detroit hitters have put up 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 2.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .193/.239/.307 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.

The Tigers’ offense has been led by outfielders Nicholas Castellanos and Leonys Martin. Castellanos is hitting .302/.362/.415 with 16 hits, five RBIs and nine runs scored, and Martin’s line is .271/.352/.396 with 13 hits, three RBIs and eight runs scored.

For the visitors, New York’s pitching staff allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.83 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.92 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.71, along with a WHIP of 1.35 and a K/9 of 13.34.

The Yankees offense has slashed .244/.334/.423 on its way to 5.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 6.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

New York’s hitters have been led by right fielder Aaron Judge and shortstop Didi Gregorius. Judge is slashing .340/.470/.566 with 18 hits, nine RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Gregorius is slashing .311/.433/.689 with 14 hits, three homers, 13 RBIs and 11 runs scored.

Compared to his total season slash line of .284/.422/.627, Judge seemed to take a step back when hitting left-handed pitchers on the road last year, putting up a slash line of .175/.390/.456 across 77 such plate appearances.

New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

New York fielders have 11 errors over the last 10 games, compared to six errors for Detroit over its last 10.

The Yankees have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Tigers have hit four over their last 10.

*****

Written by GMS Previews

Colorado Rockies at Washington Nationals Free Pick 04/14/18

Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Betting Preview 04/14/18