The New York Yankees will be taking on the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. This AL matchup will be televised nationally on ESPN and the opening pitch is scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels Odds
Los Angeles (-115) is the favorite over New York (+105) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at -200 for the Yankees +1.5 runs and +170 for the Angels -1.5 runs.
The Angels are 16-11 SU and 14-12 ATS. The team has gained 5.8 units for moneyline bettors and 2.9 units against the spread (ATS). The Yankees have gone 17-9 SU this year and are 13-12 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 1.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline through the early part of the year, but have lost 0.8 units ATS.
Los Angeles games have a 14-12 over/under record so far in 2018. New York has been a decent over bet with a total record of 16-8-1.
Left-hander CC Sabathia is the probable starter for the visiting Yankees. Sabathia is 1-0 with a 1.86 ERA and 12 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Angels this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 0.00 ERA and four strikeouts across four innings).
The Angels are turning to lefty Tyler Skaggs (3-1, 2.96 ERA), who has 24 strikeouts and eight walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.21. Skaggs did not record a start against the Yankees in 2017.
As a unit, Los Angeles’ pitchers have given up 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 5.13 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.22 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.
Los Angeles’ hitters are putting up 4.8 runs per outing, including 2.5 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .180/.241/.329 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Angels’ hitters have been led by right fielder Mike Trout and shortstop Andrelton Simmons. Trout is slashing .297/.405/.644 with 10 home runs, 18 RBIs, 21 runs and five stolen bases, while Simmons has put up a line of .315/.390/.483 with three homers, 15 RBIs and 17 runs scored.
Trout didn’t do very well against lefty pitching at home in 2017. Across 49 such plate appearances, he slashed .150/.306/.350 (his total season line was .306/.442/.629).
In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.93 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.57 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.53, along with a WHIP of 1.22.
Yankees hitters have slashed .264/.354/.472 on their way to 6.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 7.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (5-0 SU).
Shortstop Didi Gregorius and outfielder Aaron Judge have led New York’s offense. Gregorius is hitting .356/.451/.800 with 10 home runs, 30 RBIs and 24 runs scored, while Judge (.330/.463/.608) has produced seven homers, 18 RBIs and 24 runs scored.
Putting up a slash line of .235/.278/.324 across 72 such plate appearances, Gregorius didn’t do especially well against lefty pitching on the road in 2017 (compared to his total season slash line of .287/.317/.478).
The Yankees have gained 1.9 units and are 5-3 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in five of those games, as opposed to three that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Angels have netted 1.3 units and are 2-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in three of those games, as opposed to three which went under the total.
New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Angels, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in three of New York’s last seven games.
The New York defense has allowed six errors over its last five games, compared to two errors for Los Angeles over its last five.
The Yankees have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Angels have hit 12 over their last 10.
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