The Miami Marlins are set to face off against the New York Yankees at Marlins Park. YES Network will be airing this interleague matchup and the game gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Miami (+220) is the home-team underdog to New York (-240) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at +105 for the over and -125 for the under. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -160 for picking the Yankees -1.5 runs and +140 for the Marlins +1.5.
The Yankees are 78-46 SU and have gone 63-61 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 5.2 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 50-76 SU and 64-62 ATS. They’ve lost 2.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.5 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
Miami games have a 64-58-4 over/under record in 2018. New York has been a decent under bet with a total record of 55-62-7.
Right-hander Masahiro Tanaka will get the start for New York. Tanaka (9-4, 4.03 ERA) has recorded 117 strikeouts in 114 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA against Miami this year.
The Marlins will turn to Pablo Lopez (2-3, 4.79 ERA) to the mound. Lopez has 38 strikeouts and 12 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.17. Lopez has yet to face the Yankees this year and did not pitch in the majors in 2017.
Miami’s pitching staff has given up 5.1 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.59, a WHIP of 1.32 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 5.20 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.
Miami’s hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .281/.338/.465 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the charge for the Marlins’ offense this year. Castro is hitting .287/.335/.407 with 10 home runs, 45 RBIs and 69 runs scored, while Anderson is hitting .274 with nine homers, 54 RBIs and 66 runs scored.
For the visitors, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.08 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.15 K/9. The bullpen has logged a solid ERA of just 3.16, along with a WHIP of 1.25.
The Yankees offense has slashed .253/.333/.455 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game this season, including 5.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
New York’s offensive production has been powered by Giancarlo Stanton and Miguel Andujar, who’ve collectively swatted 52 home runs. Stanton is slashing .285/.353/.543 with 32 home runs, 80 RBIs and 82 runs scored, while Andujar is slashing .299/.330/.530 with 20 homers, 65 RBIs and 63 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 2.1 units and are 45-50 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 47 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.
New York Yankees vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in four of New York’s last seven games.
The Yankees have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit nine over their last 10.
New York has recorded 23.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.2 over its last five.
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