The New York Yankees will face the New York Mets at Citi Field. This interleague showdown is going to be televised nationally on ESPN and the opening pitch is scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets Odds
The Yankees (-230) are favored over the Mets (+210) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 7 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds coming in at Yankees -1.5 runs (-155) and Mets +1.5 runs (+135).
The Mets are 27-34 SU and 26-33 ATS. They’ve lost 10.4 units for moneyline bettors and 8.4 units against the spread (ATS). The Yankees are 42-18 SU and have gone 34-25 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 13.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 8.1 units ATS.
Mets games have an over/under record of 25-33-1 thus far in 2018. The Yankees have been a decent over bet with a total record of 31-25-3.
Right-hander Luis Severino is the projected starter for the visiting Yankees. Severino is 9-1 with a 2.20 ERA and 102 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and nine strikeouts over six and one-third innings).
The Mets will put the ball in the right hand of Seth Lugo (1-1, 2.04 ERA), who has 39 strikeouts and nine walks as well as a 0.93 WHIP. Lugo did not record a start against the Yankees in 2017.
the Mets’ pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Their starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.79, a WHIP of 1.28 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.5. The bullpen has a 4.53 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.
The New York offense has produced 3.9 runs per contest, including 2.1 per game over its last 10 games and 1.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .138/.220/.243 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.
The Mets’ hitters have been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario. Cabrera is hitting .285/.325/.502 with 11 home runs, 36 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Rosario’s line is .247/.279/.359 with three homers, 18 RBIs and 23 runs.
In the other dugout, the Yankees’ pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and their starters own a 3.89 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.94 K/9. The bullpen has logged a solid ERA of just 3.06, along with a WHIP of 1.17 and a K/9 of 12.12.
Yankees hitters have slashed .254/.337/.467 on their way to 5.6 runs scored per game this year, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
New York’s hitters have been led by Aaron Judge and Miguel Andujar, who have combined to blast 26 home runs. Judge is hitting .271/.396/.569 with 18 home runs, 45 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while Andujar is slashing .305/.335/.550 with eight homers, 28 RBIs and 30 runs scored.
The Yankees have gained 6.3 units and are 24-17 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 24 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 6.2 units and are 18-24 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 18 of those games, compared to 23 that went under the total.
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in five of New York’s last seven games.
The Yankees have won nine of their last 10 games SU while the Mets have lost nine of their last 10 SU.
The Yankees have recorded 23.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over their last 10 contests and 18.8 over their last five.
The Yankees have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
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