The New York Yankees will play the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and YES Network is in line to televise this interleague matchup.
New York Yankees at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Philadelphia (+115) is the home-team underdog to New York (-125) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs (+105 for the over and -125 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at +120 for the Yankees -1.5 runs and -140 for the Phillies +1.5.
The Phillies are 41-36 straight up (SU) and 33-43 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 6.2 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 17.0 units (ATS). Philadelphia has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Yankees have gone 52-25 SU this year and are 41-35 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 9.9 units for moneyline bettors and 4.3 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Phillies games have a 36-36-4 over/under record so far in 2018. New York has been a decent under bet with a total record of 33-40-3.
Right-hander Luis Cessa is projected to start for the visiting Yankees. Cessa is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA and seven strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Phillies are sending righty Zach Eflin (5-2, 3.44 ERA) to the mound. Eflin has 51 strikeouts and 12 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.17. Eflin did not record a start against the Yankees in 2017.
Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 3.82 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.18 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.
Philadelphia’s offense has put up 4.4 runs per contest, including 5.5 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .253/.342/.418 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Outfielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have led the Phillies’ batters this year. Herrera is hitting .298/.352/.493 with 13 home runs, 45 RBIs and 40 runs scored, while Hernandez’s line is .264/.374/.386 with eight homers, 27 RBIs, 54 runs and 12 steals.
In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.76 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.10 K/9. The bullpen has managed an outstanding ERA of just 2.73, along with a WHIP of 1.18.
Yankees hitters have slashed .250/.332/.458 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game this season, including 4.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge have led New York’s offense. Stanton is slashing .268/.341/.517 with 19 home runs, 46 RBIs and 46 runs scored, while Judge (.277/.397/.553) is up to 20 homers, 52 RBIs and 53 runs scored.
The Yankees have gained 0.3 units and are 30-23 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 26 of those games, compared to 26 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 6.3 units and are 25-31 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 26 of those games, as opposed to 27 that’ve cashed the under.
New York Yankees at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
New York has recorded 15 extra-base hits over its last five games. Philadelphia has 13 XBH over its last five.
New York has posted 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 17.8 over its last five.
The Yankees have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 17 over their last 10.
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