The New York Yankees will head south to take on their divisional rival Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. The matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and YES Network will broadcast the game.
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Odds
The Rays are 50-49 straight up (SU) and 55-43 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.3 units (ATS). Tampa Bay has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Yankees are 63-34 SU and have gone 50-47 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 7.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 0.0 units ATS. New York has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Tampa Bay games have an over/under record of 41-54-3 so far in 2018. New York has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 43-50-4.
Luis Severino is getting the start for New York. The right-handed Severino is 14-2 with a 2.31 ERA and 144 strikeouts. He’s 2-0 with 16 strikeouts and a 1.17 ERA against Tampa Bay this year (two starts).
The Rays will turn to righty Hunter Wood (0-0, 2.70 ERA), who has 12 strikeouts and six walks as well as a WHIP of 1.27. Wood has yet to face the Yankees this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.
As a unit, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.76 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.66 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 37 games against divisional foes, Rays starters have an ERA of 5.09 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.38.
The Tampa Bay hitters have put up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 7.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .299/.371/.495 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Rays’ hitters have been led by third baseman Matt Duffy and catcher Wilson Ramos. Duffy is hitting .314/.369/.410 with four home runs, 27 RBIs and 33 runs scored, and the line for Ramos stands at .297/.346/.488 with 14 homers, 53 RBIs and 30 runs scored.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.03 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.86 K/9. The bullpen has managed an outstanding ERA of just 2.78, along with a WHIP of 1.24.
The Yankees offense has slashed .254/.334/.464 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
New York’s hitters have been paced by Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge, who have combined to launch 49 home runs. Stanton is slashing .278/.346/.513 with 23 home runs, 57 RBIs and 59 runs scored, while Judge is hitting .286/.398/.558 with 26 homers, 61 RBIs and 68 runs scored.
The Yankees have lost 6.8 units and are 35-32 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 31 of those games, as opposed to 34 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Rays have lost 3.6 units and are 35-32 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 31 of those games, compared to 34 that went under.
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
New York has tallied 17 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Tampa Bay has 21 XBH over its last five.
New York fielders have five errors over the last 10 games, compared to 11 errors for Tampa Bay over its last 10.
The Yankees have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rays have hit 12 over their last 10.
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