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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Free Pick 07/25/18

Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees will be facing off against their divisional rival Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 12:10 p.m. ET and YES Network will be airing the action.

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Odds

Tampa Bay (+130) is coming into this one as the underdog to New York (-140) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Runline odds sit at +105 for taking the Yankees -1.5 runs and -125 for the Rays +1.5 runs.

The Yankees are 64-35 SU and are 50-48 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 4.9 units for moneyline bettors, despite having lost 1.7 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread only once over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Rays, on the other hand, are 51-50 SU and 57-43 ATS. They’ve gained 8.6 units for moneyline bettors and 15.1 units ATS. Tampa Bay has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the total has gone over in six of those seven.

Rays games have had an over/under record of 43-54-3 in 2018. The Yankees have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 44-50-4.

Luis Cessa will get the start for New York. The right-handed Cessa is 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 13 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Tampa Bay this year.

The Rays will be sending righty Nathan Eovaldi (3-4, 4.26 ERA) to the mound. Eovaldi has 53 strikeouts and eight walks to his credit, as well as a 0.98 WHIP. Eovaldi is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 6.14 ERA in one start against New York this year.

As a unit, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has yielded 4.0 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.77, a WHIP of 1.19 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 3.66 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 39 divisional games, Rays starters have an ERA of 5.03 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.40.

The Tampa Bay offense has produced 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .222/.280/.389 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Third baseman Matt Duffy and first baseman C.J. Cron have led the Rays’ hitters this year. Duffy is hitting .309/.363/.401 with four home runs, 28 RBIs and 34 runs scored, and Cron’s line is .257/.331/.477 with 19 homers, 50 RBIs and 47 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.03 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.92 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 2.75, along with a K/9 of 11.53.

Yankees hitters have slashed .254/.334/.460 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

New York’s offense has been powered by Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge, who have combined to drive in 120 runs. Stanton is slashing .282/.350/.516 with 23 home runs, 59 RBIs and 61 runs scored, while Judge is hitting .283/.397/.550 with 26 homers, 61 RBIs and 69 runs scored.

The Yankees have lost 9.8 units and are 35-33 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 32 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Rays have lost 0.2 units and are 37-32 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 33 of those games, compared to 34 that went under the total.

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has cashed in five of New York’s last seven games.

New York fielders have five errors over the last 10 games, compared to 10 errors for Tampa Bay over its last 10.

Each team has hit 12 home runs over its last 10 games.

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Written by GMS Previews

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