The New York Yankees will play their division rival Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET and YES Network will televise the matchup.
New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Odds
The Rays are 88-70 straight up (SU) and 89-68 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 23.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 22.4 units (ATS). Tampa Bay has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Yankees are 97-61 SU and have gone 77-80 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 10.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 13.6 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Tampa Bay games have an over/under record of 69-83-5 in 2018. New York has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 72-78-7.
Left-hander CC Sabathia is the probable starter for the visiting Yankees. Sabathia is 8-7 with a 3.77 ERA and 135 strikeouts. He’s 0-2 with 14 strikeouts and a 2.77 ERA against Tampa Bay this year (two starts).
The Rays will put the ball in the right hand of Jaime Schultz (2-1, 4.55 ERA, 1.04 WHIP), who’s got 33 punchouts and 15 walks. Schultz is 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against New York this year.
As a unit, Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 3.64 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.73 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 72 divisional games, Rays starters have an ERA of 4.84 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.70.
Tampa Bay’s hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .182/.290/.333 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Rays’ hitters have been led by third baseman Matt Duffy and second baseman Joey Wendle. Duffy is slashing .294/.361/.366 with four home runs, 44 RBIs and 59 runs scored, and Wendle’s line sits at .300/.354/.436 with seven homers, 58 RBIs, 60 runs and 15 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.03 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.18 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.37, along with a K-per-9 of 11.35.
The Yankees offense has slashed .248/.332/.448 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
New York’s offensive production has been powered by Miguel Andujar and Giancarlo Stanton, who collectively have swatted 61 home runs. Andujar is slashing .295/.327/.520 with 26 home runs, 87 RBIs and 79 runs scored. Stanton is slashing .260/.337/.491 with 35 homers, 95 RBIs and 98 runs scored.
The Yankees have lost 12.1 units and are 58-55 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 53 of those games, compared to 57 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rays have netted 11.1 units and are 27-17 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 15 of those games, as opposed to 27 which went under the total.
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in five of New York’s last seven games.
New York fielders have 10 errors over the last 10 games, compared to four errors for Tampa Bay over its last 10.
The Yankees have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rays have hit nine over their last 10.
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