The New York Yankees will make a road trip to Boston to square off against their division rival Red Sox at Fenway Park. Pix11 is in line to broadcast the matchup and the game will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Odds
New York (-125) is coming into this one as the favorite against Boston (+115) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). You can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at +120 for the Yankees -1.5 runs and -140 for the Red Sox +1.5.
The Red Sox are 73-33 straight up (SU) and 64-45 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 25.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 18.2 units (ATS). Boston has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Yankees have gone 66-38 SU this year and are 54-52 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 1.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have lost 3.4 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Boston games have an over/under record of 50-56-3 in 2018. New York has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 47-54-5.
CC Sabathia will get the start for the visiting Yankees. The left-handed Sabathia (6-4, 3.59 ERA) has recorded 87 strikeouts in 107.2 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Boston this year (three starts).
The Red Sox are putting the ball in the hands of righty Rick Porcello (13-4, 4.03 ERA), who’s got 126 strikeouts and 33 walks, as well as a 1.23 WHIP. Porcello is 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 3.65 ERA across two starts against New York this year.
New York’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.14 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.95 K/9. The bullpen has an outstanding ERA of just 2.81, along with a WHIP of 1.25.
Yankees hitters have slashed .257/.336/.459 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
New York’s offense has been sparked by Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge. Stanton is slashing .277/.342/.505 with 24 home runs, 64 RBIs and 65 runs scored. Judge (.285/.398/.548) is up to 26 homers, 61 RBIs and 70 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.61 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.42 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 47 games against AL East opponents, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 3.58 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.09.
The Boston offense has put up 5.3 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .254/.337/.491 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Red Sox offense has been led by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts. Martinez is slashing .324/.387/.642 with 32 home runs, 86 RBIs and 76 runs scored, while the line for Betts stands at .346/.431/.666 with 25 homers, 56 RBIs, 83 runs and 20 steals.
The Yankees have lost 12.9 units and are 39-37 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 35 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers.
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in five of Boston’s last seven games.
New York has posted 25.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 26.0 over its last five.
The Yankees have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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