Drew Pomeranz (8-9, 3.09 ERA) and the Boston Red Sox (61-50) meet Nathan Eovaldi (9-8, 4.80 ERA) and the New York Yankees (56-56) in the second of a three-game division series at Fenway Park. The Red Sox won the last game 5-3, and Boston leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 10 and will air on NESN, YES and ESPN.
In his most recent outing, Pomeranz pitched 6.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out six and walking six in a 3-2 victory over the Mariners. David Ortiz (.309, 50 Rs, 25 HRs, 88 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one RBI. The Yankees were unsuccessful against the Mets 4-1 the last time Eovaldi pitched. He went 7.0 innings, allowing four runs, striking out five and walking two. Carlos Beltran (.305, 51 Rs, 23 HRs, 68 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI.
Boston is a -175 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is nine runs. The Red Sox are 44-35 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -446. They have a SU record of 22-20 against teams in their division and a 14-12 record when they were the favorite in those games. The Red Sox come into the game with the top-ranked scoring offense in the AL, averaging 5.4 runs per game. The Red Sox are an exceptional hitting team with an AL-best 10.5 hits per home game. Boston’s pitching staff has put it all together in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game dropped to 3.3 during that span, compared to its 4.6 season average.
Moving on to the away team, the Yankees come into this game with a weak win percentage of .360 when playing as the underdog (18-32) and an overall money line of -534. Over the past 10 matchups, the team is 4-6 SU and has played poorly as the underdog with a 1-4 record. When it comes to scoring, the Yankees haven’t performed as well against teams from the AL East. During those games, they averaged three runs per game, below their 4.1 runs per game season average. New York’s pitching staff tends to perform well when they play division rivals. They’ve allowed an average of 4.0 runs per game against teams from the AL East, lower than their season average of 4.4.
The Red Sox have gotten the best of the Yankees in head-to-head matchups this season, going 7-3. The Red Sox will take on a right-hander (Eovaldi) in this game and have a 48-37 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The left-handed Pomeranz will take the mound against the Yankees, who have a 15-19 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – BOS, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after seven innings, Boston is 30-23, while New York is 31-28.
The Yankees are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Red Sox have a 10-10 record when opponents give up one walk or less.
When they outhit their opponents, the Red Sox are 54-14. The Yankees have a 42-8 record when outhitting opponents.
Boston ranks at the top of the league when it comes to runs with 603 this season. New York ranks near the bottom at 22nd with 457.
Ranking 22nd, New York is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 322 this season. Boston ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 378.
When the Red Sox hit at least one home run, they are 49-35, well-matched with the Yankees who are 40-29 when hitting one or more homers.
