Marco Estrada (2-2, 2.76 ERA) and Ivan Nova (3-2, 3.65 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Toronto Blue Jays (26-26) and the New York Yankees (24-25) at the Rogers Centre. Action begins at 7:07 p.m. ET on Monday, May. 30 and can be seen on RSN and YES.
Estrada pitched 7.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs, striking out two and walking four in an 8-4 win over the Yankees. Josh Donaldson (.256, 39 Rs, 13 HRs, 29 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday. Nova went 6.2 innings, surrendering four runs, striking out eight and walking two in an 8-4 defeat to the Blue Jays in his most recent start. Carlos Beltran (.263, 26 Rs, 12 HRs, 31 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
The odds for Toronto and New York are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is currently not available. Within its division, Toronto has a record of 9-12 SU. The Blue Jays have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 0.0 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 0.0 runs per game. Toronto’s batters do not strike out very often at home, with only 8.7 per game. Toronto’s pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 0.0 runs per game, well under their season average of 0.0. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Blue Jays, who rank second in the AL in strikeouts per home game with 7.1.
The Yankees are 14-15 against fellow AL East members. Offensively, the Yankees have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 0.0 runs per game by averaging 0.0 during that stretch. The Yankees allow 0.0 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 0.0 runs per game during that span. When it comes to issuing walks, the Yankees have the fewest in the AL with only 2.3 walks allowed per game.
The Blue Jays lead the season series, 4-2.
Predictions: SU Winner – TOR
Notes
The Yankees won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Blue Jays are 5-10. The Yankees are 7-5 in close games this season.
The Blue Jays are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded five strikeouts. The Yankees have a record of 5-5 when opponents’ pitchers have five strikeouts or less.
When they are outhit, the Yankees are 5-22. The Blue Jays have a 5-17 record when opponents outhit them.
New York ranks in the bottom half of the league at 18th when it comes to home runs, hitting 51 this season. Toronto ranks in the top 10 with 67.
Toronto and New York both rank near the bottom of the league in hits. Toronto sits at 22nd with 8.04 hits per game and New York ranks 26th with 7.73.
Ranking 26th, New York is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.681). Toronto ranks in the bottom half at 17th with an OPS of .726.
The Yankees are 14-19 when they allow at least one home run. The Blue Jays perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 14-18 record.
