The ice-cold Baltimore Orioles are trying to avoid losing their seventh in a row as they play host to the New York Yankees at Camden Yards. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising the matchup and the game is scheduled to get going at 4:05 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Odds
Baltimore (+160) is coming into this one as the underdog to New York (-170) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 9.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at Yankees -1.5 runs (-120) and Orioles +1.5 runs (+100).
The Orioles are 17-40 SU and 20-36 ATS. The team’s lost 21.4 units for moneyline bettors and 19.6 units against the spread (ATS). Baltimore has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Yankees are 36-17 SU and have gone 28-24 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 9.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 2.9 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Orioles games have an over/under record of 24-30-2 so far in 2018. The Yankees have been a decent over bet with a total record of 29-20-3.
Right-hander Masahiro Tanaka will get the start for the visiting Bronx Bombers. Tanaka is 6-2 with a 4.62 ERA and 58 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with seven strikeouts and a 4.26 ERA against Baltimore this year (three starts).
The Orioles will turn to righty Kevin Gausman (3-4, 4.31 ERA), who has 59 strikeouts and 17 walks as well as a 1.38 WHIP. Gausman is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA across one starts against New York this year.
As a unit, Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 5.3 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 5.43 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.28 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 24 games against divisional opponents, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.87 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.12.
The Baltimore offense has produced 3.7 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 1.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .209/.282/.291 over its last five matchups and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones have paced the Orioles’ offense this year. Machado is hitting .329/.398/.626 with 17 home runs, 46 RBIs and 31 runs scored, and Jones is hitting .278 with nine homers, 26 RBIs and 24 runs.
In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.04 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.77 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.33, along with a WHIP of 1.23 and a K-per-9 of 12.16.
Yankees hitters have slashed .257/.340/.467 on their way to 5.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
New York’s hitters have been led by Aaron Judge and Miguel Andujar. Judge is hitting .290/.419/.590 with 16 home runs, 41 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Andujar (.290/.310/.494) has produced five homers, 18 RBIs and 26 runs scored.
Judge seemed to have some trouble hitting on the road last season. Over 343 plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .257/.405/.533 (his overall season line was .284/.422/.627).
The Yankees have gained 2.2 units and are 18-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 22 of those games, as opposed to 11 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 16.6 units and are 13-24 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, compared to 21 that went under the total.
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The Yankees have hit 21 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit five over their last 10.
New York fielders have 10 errors over the last 10 games, compared to two errors for Baltimore over its last 10.
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