The New York Yankees will face off against their divisional foe Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the matchup.
New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Baltimore (+135) as the underdog to New York (-145). The total is sitting at 9.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -130 and the under for +110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at +100 for the Yankees -1.5 runs and -120 for the Orioles +1.5 runs.
The Yankees are 37-17 SU and have gone 29-24 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 10.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 3.9 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 17-41 SU and 20-37 ATS. They’ve lost 22.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 20.6 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.
Baltimore games have had an over/under record of 24-31-2 so far in 2018. New York has been a decent over bet with a total record of 29-21-3.
The right-handed Domingo German is projected to start for New York. German is 0-3 with a 5.45 ERA and 41 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 10.13 ERA against Baltimore this year.
The Orioles will turn to righty Alex Cobb (1-7, 6.80 ERA) to the mound. Cobb has 25 strikeouts and 12 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.81 WHIP. Cobb has yet to face the Yankees this year, but he made two starts against them in 2017, compiling a 1-1 record with a 3.46 ERA and 11 strikeouts.
New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 4.09 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.83 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.32, along with a WHIP of 1.24.
Yankees hitters have slashed .258/.341/.470 on their way to 5.7 runs scored per game this year, including 5.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
New York’s offense has been powered by Aaron Judge and Miguel Andujar. Judge is slashing .288/.414/.585 with 16 home runs, 41 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Andujar is hitting .294 with six homers, 21 RBIs and 27 runs scored.
Judge didn’t perform especially well on the road last season. Over 343 plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .257/.405/.533 (compared to his total season line of .284/.422/.627).
For the home team, Baltimore’s pitching staff has given up 5.3 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 5.48, a WHIP of 1.56 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 4.29 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 25 divisional games, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.98 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.19.
The Baltimore offense is putting up 3.7 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 1.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .222/.280/.364 over its last five matchups and is 0-5 SU during that span.
The Orioles’ hitters have been led by shortstop Manny Machado and outfielder Adam Jones. Machado is hitting .327/.398/.633 with 18 home runs, 47 RBIs and 32 runs scored, and Jones has produced a line of .284/.303/.474 with 10 homers, 28 RBIs and 25 runs scored.
The Yankees have gained 3.2 units and are 19-16 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 12 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 17.6 units and are 13-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under.
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
New York fielders have committed seven errors over their last five games, compared to three errors for Baltimore over its last five.
The Yankees have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit eight over their last 10.
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