Michael Pineda (4-0, 2.97 ERA) and the New York Yankees (19-12) meet Bud Norris (1-3, 9.75 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles (13-15) in the last of a four-game division series at Yankee Stadium. The Orioles won the last game 6-2 and New York leads the series 2-1. The game starts at 1:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, May. 10 and will air on MASN and YES.
Pineda is 2-0 with a 2.84 ERA against the Orioles in his career, but is up against a solid Baltimore offense that’s hitting .270 on the year. Brett Gardner (.319, 22 Rs, 2 HRs, 13 RBIs, 9 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday. In his career against the Yankees, Norris is 4-0 with a 3.21 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, and 35 strikeouts. Jimmy Paredes (.347, 15 Rs, 5 HRs, 15 RBIs, 1 SB) has been hitting the ball well for the Orioles, going 3 for 5 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and one RBI.
New York is a -160 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Yankees perform well as a favorite with a 10-5 record and have an overall money line of +811. Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (4-1). The Yankees are a dangerous hitting team with 104 extra base hits, one of the highest totals in the MLB. They have been very patient at the plate, ranking second in the AL with an average of 3.6 walks per game. Turning to the pitching staff, an area where the Yankees are particularly strong is striking batters out, where they average 8.5 K’s per game.
Switching gears, the Orioles come into this game with a weak win percentage of .286 when playing as the underdog (4-10) and an overall money line of -279. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 1-4 record when playing as the underdog and an SU record of 5-5. The last 10 games have really brought the best out of the Baltimore pitchers. They’ve allowed 3.4 runs per game during that span, which is lower than their season average of 4.6.
The Yankees will take on a right-hander (Norris) in this game. They have done very well against right-handed starting pitchers this season (14-7), especially at home where they have a 7-3 record. Taking the hill against the Orioles will be the right-hander Pineda. They sport a 10-13 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYY, O/U – Over
Notes
Baltimore recorded at least two errors for the fourth time this season.
The Orioles are 1-0 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Yankees are 0-2 in such matchups.
The Orioles are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Yankees have a 3-3 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 12-5. The Yankees have a 12-0 record when outhitting opponents.
Both falling in the top 10 of the league based on total runs this season, New York ranks sixth with 143 runs and Baltimore is ninth with 136.
Ranking 23rd, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 73 this season. New York ranks in the top five at third with 108.
The Yankees are 15-8 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Orioles are 12-9 when they hit at least one homer.
