Michael Pineda (10-8, 4.07 ERA) and Wei-Yin Chen (8-7, 3.36 ERA) start in the first of a three-game series between the New York Yankees (75-59) and the Baltimore Orioles (65-70) at Yankee Stadium. Action begins at 1:05 p.m. ET on Monday, Sep. 7 and can be seen on YES, MASN and ESPN.
Pineda pitched 6.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering one run and striking out seven in a 3-1 win over the Red Sox. Alex Rodriguez (.257, 73 Rs, 28 HRs, 76 RBIs, 3 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run, one home run, and one RBI. Chen went 4.2 innings, surrendering five runs and striking out four in a 6-3 defeat to the Rays in his last outing. Chris Davis (.256, 79 Rs, 40 HRs, 100 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday.
New York is a -156 favorite against Baltimore and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Yankees have recorded an overall money line of +370 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 50-31. New York is an impressive 6-2 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Yankees have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 6.7 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.9 runs per game. New York is one of the best in the AL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.4 per game. Turning to the pitchers, opponents have consistently been struck out by the Yankees, who rank fourth in the AL in strikeouts per game with 8.4.
As for their opponent, Baltimore is coming in with an overall money line of -1,016 and a disappointing record of 24-37 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 2-5 record, and a 3-7 record SU. The Orioles allow 4.1 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 5.4 runs per game during that span.
The Yankees lead the season series, 8-5. The Yankees have a 23-16 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Chen takes the mound. Pineda (RHP) will be on the hill against the Orioles, who have a 48-52 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYY, O/U – Over
Notes
After last game’s shutout win against the Tampa Bay, the Yankees now have two shutouts this season. The Orioles have been shut out in nine games this season.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Yankees are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Orioles have a 9-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they are outhit, the Orioles are 11-51. The Yankees have a 16-46 record when opponents outhit them.
New York and Baltimore both rank in the top five of the league in home runs. New York sits at third with 180 home runs this season and Baltimore ranks fourth with 177.
Ranking 11th, Baltimore is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.52 per game. New York ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.76.
Ranking 13th, Baltimore is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.727). New York ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .757.
When the Orioles allow at least one home run, they are 37-50, well-matched with the Yankees who are 38-45 when allowing at least one homer.
