The New York Yankees will be taking on their divisional rival Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. The action will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET and Pix11 will showcase the game.
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Odds
New York (+105) is hosting this one as the underdog against Boston (-115) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. Runline odds stand at -200 for taking the Yankees +1.5 runs and +170 for the Red Sox -1.5.
The Red Sox are 9-1 SU and 3-6 ATS. The team’s gained 6.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 3.0 units against the spread (ATS). Boston has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven. The Yankees are 5-6 SU and have gone 5-5 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 2.7 units for moneyline gamblers this year and 1.8 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven.
Red Sox games have had an over/under record of 4-5 so far in 2018. The Yankees have an over/under record of 6-4.
The Yankees have gained 2.0 units and are 2-0 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in one of those games, as opposed to one that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 5.3 units and are 3-5 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to four which went under the total.
Masahiro Tanaka (1-1, 2.92 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Yankees. The right-handed Tanaka struck out 194 hitters across 178 innings last year (30 starts) while finishing the season 13-12 overall with a 4.74 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. He made four starts against Boston in 2017 and compiled a 2-2 record against the Red Sox with a 2.83 ERA and 17 strikeouts.
The BoSox will put the ball in the hands of lefty David Price (1-0, 0.00 ERA), who recorded 76 strikeouts in 74 innings last year (11 starts). Price finished the season 6-3 overall with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. He recorded two starts against the Yankees a year ago and registered a 1-1 record with a 4.15 ERA and 12 strikeouts.
As a unit, Boston’s pitching staff has given up 2.7 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 1.68, a WHIP of 1.03 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has a 3.89 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In eight divisional games, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 1.69 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.50.
The Boston offense has produced 5.6 runs per contest, including 7.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .279/.366/.453 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.
The Red Sox batters have been led by right fielder Mookie Betts and shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Betts is slashing .432/.533/.730 with 16 hits, six RBIs and 13 runs scored, while the line for Bogaerts stands at .368/.400/.711 with 14 hits, nine RBIs and seven runs.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.68 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.51 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.16, along with a WHIP of 1.28 and a K-per-9 of 13.30.
Yankees hitters have slashed .241/.332/.410 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game this season, including over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Shortstop Didi Gregorius and right fielder Aaron Judge have led New York’s offense. Gregorius is slashing .389/.522/.861 with 14 hits, 10 RBIs and 10 runs scored, while Judge (.333/.462/.595) is up to 14 hits, three homers, eight RBIs and nine runs scored.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .287/.317/.478, Gregorius did not perform especially well against lefties on the road last season, maintaining a slash line of .235/.278/.324 across 72 such plate appearances.
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Red Sox went 8-11 SU against the Yankees last season.
The Yankees have lost four of their last five games SU.
The Red Sox’ bullpen managed 5.24 ERA against the Yankees last year.
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