The New York Yankees will play their divisional rival Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. New England Sports Network will showcase the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Odds
Oddsmakers are listing New York (+100) as the underdog to Boston (-110). The total sits at 9 runs and bettors can wager on the over for even money (+100) and the under for -120. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -210 for the Yankees +1.5 runs and +175 for the Red Sox -1.5 runs.
The Yankees are 6-6 SU and have gone 5-6 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.7 units for moneyline gamblers this year and 3.5 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven. The Red Sox are 9-2 SU and 4-6 ATS. They’ve gained 7.3 units for moneyline bettors while earning 1.4 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Red Sox games have a 5-5 over/under record so far in 2018. Yankees games have gone over seven times, gone under four times and pushed on zero occasions.
The Yankees have lost 4.7 units and are 3-5 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in five of those games, as opposed to three that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 6.3 units and are 4-5 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in five of those games, compared to four which went under the total.
Sonny Gray (1-0, 3.60 ERA) will get the nod for New York. The right-handed Gray struck out 153 hitters across 162 innings last year (27 starts) but finished the season 10-12 overall with a 3.55 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. He made three starts against the Red Sox in 2017 and compiled a 1-2 record against them with a 4.50 ERA and 17 strikeouts.
The BoSox are rolling with righty Rick Porcello (2-0, 2.84 ERA) as their starter. Porcello started 33 games last year while finishing the season 11-17 overall with a 4.65 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP. He made four starts against New York a year ago and compiled a 1-3 record with a 3.24 ERA and 24 strikeouts.
As a unit, Boston’s pitching staff has given up 3.4 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 2.25 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.40 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In nine games against AL East foes, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 2.39 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.03.
The Boston offense has produced 5.7 runs per contest, including 8.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .287/.377/.500 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Right fielder Mookie Betts and shortstop Xander Bogaerts have led the Red Sox hitters so far. Betts is slashing .405/.500/.690 with 17 hits, seven RBIs and 14 runs scored, and Bogaerts has produced a line of .368/.400/.711 with 14 hits, nine RBIs and seven runs.
In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.24 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.19 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.93, along with a K/9 of 13.14.
The Yankees offense has slashed .249/.340/.425 on its way to 5.5 runs scored per game this season, including 5.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Shortstop Didi Gregorius and right fielder Aaron Judge have led New York’s offense. Gregorius is hitting .359/.471/.795 with 14 hits, 12 RBIs and 10 runs scored, while Judge (.348/.474/.587) is up to 16 hits, three homers, eight RBIs and 11 runs scored.
Gregorius seemed to enjoy hitting righties on the road last year. Across 215 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .350/.377/.596 (his overall season line was .287/.317/.478).
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
Boston has posted 24.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 28.8 over its last five.
The Yankees have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit nine over their last 10.
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