The New York Yankees will make a road trip to Fenway Park to face their division rival Boston Red Sox. New England Sports Network will be televising the action. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Boston (-140) as the favorite over New York (+130). Bettors are able to gamble on the game’s total with odds sitting at even money (+100) for over 7.5 runs and -120 for under 7.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at -170 for the Yankees +1.5 runs and +150 for the Red Sox -1.5.
The Red Sox are 8-1 SU and 3-6 ATS. The team’s gained 6.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 3.0 units against the spread (ATS). The Yankees have gone 5-5 SU this year and are 5-5 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 2.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline this year and 1.8 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in six of those seven.
Red Sox games have had an over/under record of 4-5 so far in 2018. The Yankees have an over/under record of 6-4.
The Yankees have gained 2.0 units and are 2-0 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in one of those games, compared to one that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 5.3 units and are 3-5 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under.
Luis Severino (2-0, 1.38 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Yankees. The right-handed Severino struck out 230 hitters over 193 innings last year (31 starts) while finishing the season 14-6 overall with a 2.98 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP. He made four starts against Boston in 2017 and put together a 2-1 record against the Red Sox with a 3.33 ERA and 25 strikeouts.
The BoSox are turning to lefty Chris Sale (0-0, 0.82 ERA), who struck out 308 hitters over 214 innings last year (with only 43 walks). Sale finished the season 17-8 overall with a 2.90 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP. He recorded five starts against the Yankees a year ago and put up a 0-3 record with a 2.65 ERA and 50 strikeouts.
Boston’s pitchers have given up 2.9 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 1.70, a WHIP of 1.00 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 4.24 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.8 K/9. In seven games against divisional foes, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 1.71 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.09.
The Boston offense has put up 4.7 runs per outing, including 6.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .278/.349/.448 over its last five matchups and is 5-0 SU during that span.
Shortstop Xander Bogaerts and right fielder Mookie Betts have led the Red Sox hitters this year. Bogaerts is slashing .368/.400/.711 with 14 hits, nine RBIs and seven runs scored, while Betts has produced a line of .364/.475/.545 with 12 hits, two RBIs and eight runs scored.
For the visiting squad, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.19 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.39 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.89, along with a K-per-9 of 13.39.
Yankees hitters have slashed .237/.335/.412 on their way to 5.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
New York’s hitters have been led by shortstop Didi Gregorius and right fielder Aaron Judge. Gregorius is hitting .375/.524/.906 with 12 hits, 10 RBIs and 10 runs scored, while Judge (.289/.438/.500) is up to 11 hits, two homers, seven RBIs and eight runs scored.
Gregorius seemed to take a step back when hitting lefties on the road last season, maintaining a slash line of .235/.278/.324 across 72 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .287/.317/.478).
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The Red Sox went 8-11 SU against the Yankees last season.
The Yankees’ bullpen managed 2.68 ERA against the Red Sox last year.
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