CC Sabathia (4-8, 5.54 ERA) and Eduardo Rodriguez (6-3, 4.34 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the New York Yankees (60-46) and the Boston Red Sox (48-60) at Yankee Stadium. The Red Sox won the last game 2-1 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 6 and can be seen on YES and NESN.
Sabathia pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering five runs, striking out three and walking one in a 7-6 defeat to the Rangers. Mark Teixeira (.268, 54 Rs, 29 HRs, 76 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Rodriguez went 5.0 innings, surrendering three runs, striking out four and walking four in a 7-5 defeat to the Rays in his most recent start. David Ortiz (.244, 43 Rs, 21 HRs, 60 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
New York is a -156 favorite against Boston and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. The Yankees have recorded an overall money line of +354 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 37-24. New York has had an impressive season against division opponents, earning 16-9 and 25-18 records as the favorite and SU respectively. The Yankees have no trouble scoring as they rank second in the AL in offense with 5.0 runs per game. The Yankees are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits with a phenomenal 9.0 per game. New York is one of the best in the AL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.3 per game.
In games where it is the underdog, Boston has a 18-25 record and an overall money line of -1,871. They have played poorly as the underdog with a 10-12 record against AL East foes, and a 5-5 record SU. Offensively, the Red Sox have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 4.2 runs per game by averaging 5.9 during that stretch. The Red Sox allow 4.9 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 6.1 runs per game during that span.
The Yankees lead the season series, 7-4. The Yankees have a 20-12 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Rodriguez takes the mound. Sabathia (LHP) will be on the hill against the Red Sox, who have an 11-17 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYY, O/U – Over
Notes
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees’s last 6 games.
NY Yankees are 16-7 SU in their last 23 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Yankees’s last 9 games at home.
NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home.
NY Yankees are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games when playing Boston.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees’s last 6 games when playing at home against Boston.
The Yankees are 25-18 against their divisional rivals, while the Red Sox are 20-29 against their division.
New York has won 47% (25-28) of its games when leading after 7 innings. However, Boston has won 49% (25-26) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Red Sox are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded nine strikeouts. The Yankees have a record of 13-20 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Red Sox are 38-7. The Yankees have a 41-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 11th in runs, Boston has earned 451 this season. New York ranks second with 526 runs.
Ranking 11th, Boston is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 318 this season. New York ranks in the top five at fifth with 353.
When the Yankees hit at least one home run, they are 51-28. When the Red Sox hit at least one homer, they have a 35-34 record.
