Luis Severino (0-0, 0.00 ERA) and Steven Wright (4-4, 4.53 ERA) take the hill in the second of a three-game series between the New York Yankees (60-45) and the Boston Red Sox (47-60) at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won the last game 13-3 and New York leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 5 and can be seen on YES, NESN and ESPN.
This is the first start for Severino this season. Mark Teixeira (.268, 54 Rs, 29 HRs, 76 RBIs, 2 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run and two RBIs. Wright went 7.0 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out eight and walking two in an 8-2 win over the White Sox in his last outing.
New York is a -170 favorite against Boston and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. The Yankees have recorded an overall money line of +531 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 37-23. New York has had an impressive season against division opponents, earning 16-8 and 25-17 records as the favorite and SU respectively. The Yankees have no trouble scoring as they rank second in the AL in offense with 5.0 runs per game. The Yankees are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits with an impressive 9.0 per game. New York is one of the best in the AL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.3 per game.
In games where it is the underdog, Boston has a 17-25 record and an overall money line of -2,038. They have played poorly as the underdog with a 9-12 record against AL East foes, and a 4-6 record SU. Offensively, the Red Sox have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 4.2 runs per game by averaging 5.8 during that stretch. The Red Sox allow 4.9 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 6.5 runs per game during that span.
The Yankees have controlled the season series, 7-3. The Yankees have a 40-33 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Wright takes the mound. Severino (RHP) will be on the hill against the Red Sox, who have a 36-43 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYY, O/U – Over
Notes
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees’s last 5 games.
NY Yankees are 11-4 SU in their last 15 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees’s last 8 games at home.
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Yankees’s last 12 games when playing Boston.
NY Yankees are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing Boston.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees’s last 5 games when playing at home against Boston.
NY Yankees are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Boston.
The Yankees won their last game by a 10-run margin. In games decided by a margin of 10 runs or more, the Red Sox are 2-4. The Yankees are 5-3 in blowouts this season.
The Yankees are coming into this matchup after a high-scoring game where they scored a whopping 13 runs. The Red Sox have a 0-5 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
It looks like the Yankees have a slight leg up on the Red Sox, as the Yankees have won their last two games while the Red Sox have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Red Sox are 38-7. The Yankees have a 41-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 11th, Boston sits in the top half of the league in runs, scoring 449 this season. New York ranks in the top five at second with 525.
Ranking 11th, Boston is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 316 this season. New York ranks in the top five at fifth with 350.
The Yankees are 51-27 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Red Sox are 34-34 when they hit at least one homer.
