In the first of a three-game series between the New York Yankees (36-30) and the Detroit Tigers (36-30) at Yankee Stadium, Adam Warren (4-4, 3.78 ERA) and Alfredo Simon (7-3, 2.58 ERA) take the mound. The game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET on Friday, Jun. 19 and will air on FSN-DET, YES and MLB Network.
Warren has a 4.09 ERA and a 2-0 record in his career against the Tigers, and is up against a strong Detroit offense that’s hitting .272 on the year. Alex Rodriguez (.278, 37 Rs, 12 HRs, 34 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run and one RBI. In his career against the Yankees, Simon is 1-3 with a 4.31 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, and 26 strikeouts. Miguel Cabrera (.342, 38 Rs, 15 HRs, 51 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 5 Wednesday with one run, one home run, and three RBIs.
New York is a -128 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Yankees are 19-14 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +174. The Yankees rank fifth in the majors in home runs with 81. Turning to the pitching staff, an area where the Yankees are particularly strong at home is striking batters out, where they average an AL-best 8.9 K’s per home game.
Switching gears, the Tigers come into this game with a win percentage of .462 when playing as the underdog (12-14) and an overall money line of -107. Detroit is the top hitting team in the league, converting .272 of their at-bats for hits. Detroit is a terror on the base paths, ranking fourth in the MLB with 52 stolen bases.
In their previous four games this season, the Yankees have a 3-1 record. This game will feature Simon (RHP) on the mound against the Yankees, who have a 26-23 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Tigers will be the right-hander Warren. They sport a 24-26 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYY, O/U – Over
Notes
When the Tigers play into extra innings, they have a 3-3 record. The Yankees are 1-4 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Tigers managed to give up four walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Yankees who are heading in with a 19-4 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Tigers are 2-22. The Yankees have a 6-23 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 22nd in home runs, Detroit has hit 53 this season. New York ranks fifth with 81 home runs.
Detroit tops the league in hits with 9.33 per game this season. New York ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 8.52.
Ranking seventh, New York is in the top 10 of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.734). Detroit ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .745.
The Tigers are 12-23 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Yankees are 19-24 when they allow at least one homer.