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New York Yankees vs Miami Marlins Game Pick

Michael Pineda (7-3, 3.74 ERA) and the New York Yankees (34-30) meet Jose Urena (1-2, 4.44 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (29-37) in the first of a two-game interleague series at Yankee Stadium. The game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 17 and will air on FSN-FL and YES.

In his most recent outing, Pineda pitched 4.1 innings, giving up five runs (one unearned), striking out two and walking two in an 11-3 loss to the Orioles. The Marlins were victorious the last time Urena pitched. He pitched well, going, going 6.2 innings, allowing one run and striking out one in a 5-1 victory over the Rockies. Giancarlo Stanton (.265, 43 Rs, 24 HRs, 62 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Marlins, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and three RBIs.

New York, a -168 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Miami. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Yankees have an 18-14 record and overall money line at +181. They have an SU record of 3-5 against the NL and a 3-3 record when they were the favorite in those games. The Yankees come into the game with the AL’s second-ranked home scoring offense, averaging 5.3 runs per game in their own ballpark. The Yankees rank fifth in the AL in hits at home with 9.1 per game. Turning to the pitching staff, the Yankees don’t give up many walks to opposing batters, ranking fourth in the AL with only 2.6 walks allowed per game.

On the other side, the Marlins have a record of 14-19 when they are the underdog and are -1,068 overall with the money line. Against interleague competitors, they are 4-6 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 1-3 record. Miami is one of the top road hitting teams in the NL with an average of 9.1 hits per contest. Miami’s pitching staff tends to perform poorly when they play competition from the AL. They’ve allowed an average of 5.2 runs per game against teams from the AL, higher than their season average of 4.1.

So far this season, the Marlins are 2-0 against the Yankees. This game will feature Urena (RHP) on the mound against the Yankees, who have a 25-22 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Marlins will be the right-hander Pineda. They sport a 20-31 record against righties.

Predictions: SU Winner – NYY, O/U – Over

Notes

For the fourth time this season, the Marlins registered at least two errors in a game.

The Marlins are 3-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Yankees are 1-4 in such matchups.

The Marlins are coming into this meeting after a high-scoring game where they scored an impressive 12 runs. The Yankees have a 0-3 record when opponents score that many runs or more.

When they are outhit, the Marlins are 4-23. The Yankees have a 6-23 record when opponents outhit them.

Ranking 19th in home runs, Miami has hit 54 this season. New York ranks fourth with 79 home runs.

New York and Miami both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. New York sits at seventh with 8.57 hits per game and Miami ranks sixth with 8.88.

Ranking 20th, Miami is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.698). New York ranks in the top 10 at seventh with an OPS of .729.

When the Marlins allow at least one home run, they are 13-23. When the Yankees allow one or more homers, they have a 17-24 record.

Written by GMS Previews

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