The New York Yankees will be taking on the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. YES Network will be televising this interleague showdown and the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees vs. Miami Marlins Odds
New York (-180) is favored over Miami (+170) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds coming in at Yankees -1.5 runs (-125) and Marlins +1.5 runs (+105).
The Marlins are 64-62 against the spread (ATS), but only 50-77 straight up (SU). The team has lost 2.3 units for moneyline bettors and 12.5 units (ATS). Miami has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total went over in five of those seven. The Yankees are 79-46 SU and have gone 63-61 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 0.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.2 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Miami games have an over/under record of 64-58-4 in 2018. The Yankees have been a decent under bet with a total record of 55-62-7.
Lance Lynn will get the nod for the visiting Yankees. The right-handed Lynn (8-8, 4.68 ERA) has recorded 127 punchouts in 123 innings so far. He has yet to face Miami this year, but he made two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 0-1 record with a 5.79 ERA and 10 strikeouts.
The Marlins will put the ball in the hands of Trevor Richards (3-7, 4.28 ERA, 1.44 WHIP), who’s got 88 strikeouts and 40 walks. Richards did not accrue any MLB pitching stats last season.
As a unit, Miami’s pitching staff has given up 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have a 4.56 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.15 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.
Miami’s hitters are putting up 3.7 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .255/.320/.426 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the Marlins’ hitters this year. Castro is slashing .285/.336/.405 with 10 home runs, 45 RBIs and 69 runs scored, while Anderson’s line sits at .276/.355/.397 with nine homers, 54 RBIs and 66 runs.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.06 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.12 K/9. The bullpen has logged a solid ERA of just 3.12, along with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K/9 of 11.43.
The Yankees offense has slashed .253/.333/.453 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game this year, including 5.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
New York’s hitters have been led by Giancarlo Stanton and Miguel Andujar, who collectively have belted 52 home runs. Stanton is slashing .285/.353/.542 with 32 home runs, 80 RBIs and 82 runs scored. Andujar (.297/.328/.526) has produced 20 homers, 66 RBIs and 64 runs scored.
The Marlins have lost 2.1 units and are 45-50 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 47 of those games, as opposed to 44 that’ve gone under against righties.
New York Yankees at Miami Marlins Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in five of Miami’s last seven games.
Miami has recorded 21.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.0 over its last five.
The Yankees have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit nine over their last 10.
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