Ivan Nova (0-0, 0.00 ERA) and Cole Hamels (5-5, 2.96 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the New York Yankees (38-33) and the Philadelphia Phillies (26-47) at Yankee Stadium. The Phillies won the last game 11-6 and Philadelphia leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 1:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 24 and can be seen on NBC-10 and YES.
This is the first start for Nova this season. He pitched 20.2 innings last season, finishing 2-2 with an 8.27 ERA, 1.84 WHIP, and 12 strikeoutsBrett Gardner (.294, 53 Rs, 9 HRs, 37 RBIs, 15 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with two runs, one home run, and one RBI. Hamels is 0-1 with a 2.77 ERA against the Yankees in his career. He is up against a good New York offense that’s batting .258. Ben Revere (.292, 39 Rs, 18 RBIs, 18 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Phillies, going 3 for 5 yesterday with three runs.
New York is a slim -109 favorite at home against Philadelphia. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at eight runs for this matchup. The Yankees have an overall money line of +48 and a record as the favorite of 22-16. Against the NL, they have a solid 5-4 record as the favorite but a 5-7 SU. The Yankees have no trouble scoring as they rank second in the AL in offense with 4.8 runs per game. The Yankees are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits with an impressive 8.9 per game. New York is one of the best in the AL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.2 per game. New York’s pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 5.9 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.4. The Yankees are the second-best team in the AL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.6 walks per game so far this season.
Over in the other dugout, Philadelphia is coming in with an overall money line of -1,532 and a disappointing record of 22-42 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 3-7 record, and a 3-7 record SU. The Phillies allow 4.9 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 6.7 runs per game during that span.
The Phillies have the edge in the season series, 2-0. The Yankees have a 9-7 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Hamels takes the mound. Nova (RHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have inferior records against right-handed starting pitchers on the road and overall of 7-22 and 21-37, respectively.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYY, O/U – Under
Notes
The Phillies are 2-4 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Yankees are 1-4 in such matchups.
The Phillies are coming into this meeting after a high-scoring game where they scored an impressive 11 runs. The Yankees have a 0-7 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they are outhit, the Phillies are 8-36. The Yankees have a 6-25 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 29th in home runs, Philadelphia has hit 46 this season. New York ranks second with 98 home runs.
Ranking 13th, Philadelphia is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.15 per game. New York ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.90.
Ranking 29th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.652). New York ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .762.
The Phillies are 11-33 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Yankees are 19-27 when they allow at least one homer.
