CC Sabathia (3-7, 5.31 ERA) and Sean O Sullivan (1-5, 4.79 ERA) take the hill in the second of a three-game series between the New York Yankees (38-32) and the Philadelphia Phillies (25-47) at Yankee Stadium. The Phillies won the last game 11-8 and Philadelphia leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 23 and can be seen on CSN-PHI and YES.
Sabathia pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs and striking out seven in a 9-4 defeat to the Marlins. Brett Gardner (.290, 51 Rs, 8 HRs, 36 RBIs, 15 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 4 for 4 with two runs, one home run, and three RBIs. O Sullivan is 2-2 with a 5.87 ERA when pitching against the Yankees. He is up against a quality New York offense which is hitting .257 this season. Ben Revere (.287, 36 Rs, 18 RBIs, 18 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Phillies, going 3 for 6 yesterday with two runs, one RBI, and one stolen base.
This one isn’t expected to be close when New York, a substantial -244 favorite, takes on Philadelphia. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently eight runs. The Yankees have an overall money line of +326 and a record as the favorite of 22-15. Against the NL, they have a 5-3 record when they were the favorite and 5-6 SU. The Yankees have no trouble scoring as they rank second in the AL in offense with 4.7 runs per game. The Yankees are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits with an impressive 8.8 per game. New York is one of the best in the AL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.2 per game. New York’s pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 5.9 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.3. The Yankees are the fourth-best team in the AL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.7 walks per game so far this season.
Over in the other dugout, Philadelphia is coming in with an overall money line of -1,785 and a disappointing record of 21-42 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 2-8 record, and a 2-8 record SU. Offensively, the Phillies have really sputtered in interleague games. They have decreased their season average of 3.1 runs per game by averaging 2.1 in those contests. The Phillies allow 4.8 runs per game, but does worse whenever an AL opponent is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average up to 6.6 against teams from the AL.
The Phillies have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Yankees have a 29-24 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when O Sullivan takes the mound. Sabathia (LHP) will be on the hill against the Phillies, who have inferior records against left-handed starting pitchers on the road and overall of 1-6 and 4-10, respectively.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYY, O/U – Under
Notes
When the Phillies play into extra innings, they have a 2-4 record. The Yankees are 1-4 when their games exceed nine innings.
The Phillies are coming into this meeting after a high-scoring game where they scored an impressive 11 runs. The Yankees have a 0-6 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they are outhit, the Phillies are 7-36. The Yankees have a 6-25 record when opponents outhit them.
Philadelphia ranks near the bottom of the league at 29th when it comes to home runs, hitting 44 this season. New York ranks in the top five at second with 94.
Ranking 14th, Philadelphia is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.99 per game. New York ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.83.
Ranking 29th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.647). New York ranks in the top five at third with an OPS of .756.
The Phillies are 10-33 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Yankees are 19-26 when they allow at least one homer.
